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Picks For College Football's Week 1 Mega Games

I was on Outkick The Coverage on Wednesday doing a college football season betting preview with Clay Travis and got into the biggest games on the board in Week 1. 

And there are some big ones here, folks. I can't remember a Week 1 like it. 

Anyway, here is the Periscope and below is my very quick breakdown of all the games to help you out too. 

Clay and I made a pick for every one of these games since we are both types who tend not to shy away from a massive football game. I'll be watching them all and I don't know about you but I don't really like watching unless I have some action on the go.

Clay and I agreed on his Blood Bank picks of South Carolina-Vandy UNDER and USC-Alabama UNDER and the first one came through.  

Good luck bettors and wager responsibly if you'll be taking all these games like I will be. 

Clemson-Auburn (Opened 8 moved to +7.5) 
This is an unusually high number of points for Auburn to get at home. They got 15 against Bama last year but before that you have to go back to 2012 when they were 18-point dogs vs. LSU. Auburn UNDER 7 wins was one of the most popular season win total bets of the year so it’s not surprising. What is surprising is that Auburn was also a popular national championship futures bet at another book so go figure. Anyway, the number opened at 8 and moved down to 7.5. I think oddsmakers are just trying to make you a little uncomfortable here by laying the hook and I like Clemson.  
My pick: Clemson
Clay's pick: Auburn

Georgia-UNC (Opened +3.5 and moved to 3) 
Really interesting one here. Opened +3.5 and moved to +2.5 and then +3. UNC led the nation in yards per play last season but they allowed 5.1 yards per carry and stunk on third down defense. This defensive line has to prove itself and if you don’t have a defensive line, I don’t like your chances against an SEC team. I think Georgia could keep this one on the ground with potentially a freshman starting at QB. That could keep the clock running, which also makes this total of 56.5 look a little lofty to me. 
My Pick: Georgia
Clay's Pick: UNC

USC at Alabama (Opened -9 moved to -12) 
Alabama favored to win national title. O/U of 10 wins. But this just feels like too many points to me. Bama has an entirely new backfield and USC returns all of its starting secondary so points may be a little tougher to come by than Bama fans might like. 
My pick: UNDER and USC
Clay's Blood Bank pick: UNDER, side pick Alabama 

Note: Alabama is 6-0 in neutral site openers under Nick Saban, winning by over 20 points per game on average. Too late to change my pick?   

UCLA at A&M (Opened -1 moved to -3) 
Clay called me an idiot for taking UCLA here and he may be right. UCLA loses Paul Perkins and I'm just not sure how you replace someone like that. But they did move to a pro style offense and will offer a different look. A&M’s new offensive coordinator comes from UCLA and the Bruins defense should be improved and familiar with how this offense looks. I think this is a field goal game and I probably would have taken A&M if the line stayed at 1 point. 
My Pick: Bruins 
Clay's Pick: A&M

LSU-Wisconsin (Opened +9.5, moved to +10.5)
This is going to be a battle on the ground to see who can stop the run better. I think LSU has the slightly better defense and slightly better passing game but I think this one goes UNDER and it feels like too many points. 
My pick: LSU
Clay's pick: LSU

Notre Dame-Texas (Opened +2.5 and moved to 4) 
Far and away the most popular game to bet on the board this week. Opened Notre Dame -2.5 and moved to 4 which isn’t surprising because as surely as a Catholic genuflects at mass, Notre Dame money will come in. Notre Dame hasn’t played a non-Saturday regular season game since 1996 and they only return seven starters. 
My pick: Texas
Clay's pick: Texas

Ole Miss-FSU (Opened -5 moved to -4) 
Feels like a lot of points to be laying to Ole Miss but Florida State has so much talent on both sides of the ball. Even though the Noles have to go with a new redshirt freshman QB, Deondre Francois, I think Florida State takes this one. 
My pick: Florida State
Clay's pick: Ole Miss