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Point spread favors Eagles in battle with Black Knights

Army Black KnightsBoston College Eagles
2-3October 05, 2013, 01:00 | Alumni Stadium2-2


Army travels to Boston College on Saturday, hoping to boost its 2-3 mark in Week 6 action with a victory over the Eagles.

The Eagles are 2-2 so far on the season, and 2-2 ATS vs. the number. The Black Knights, meanwhile, are 2-3 and 2-3 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Boston College go 2-2 and the Black Knights go 1-4 on the totals.

View Army Black Knights vs Boston College Eagles Odds and Stats.

The Black Knights were listed as 13-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week.

The Eagles sit at No. 108 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Black Knights are at No. 102 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Black Knights will win this game 19-18.

Army was a 35-16 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Louisiana Tech. They covered the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (51) made winners of UNDER bettors. Terry Baggett tore up the turf for 143 rushing yards in the latest Black Knights game, a 35-16 win over the Bulldogs at Cotton Bowl. Andre Williams ran through the Florida State defense for 159 yards in Boston College's last game, but the Eagles still lost a 48-34 decision at Alumni Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Boston College's No. 94-ranked offense, averaging 22.25 PPG, against a Black Knights defense that ranks No. 67 this week at 25.4 PPG. The Eagles aerial game is averaging 172 yards per game, less than the Black Knights secondary allows through the air, 219.6 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Black Knights own the league's No. 105-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 257 yards per game when on the road. Boston College, on the other hand, rates No. 76 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Black Knights at Eagles trends to consider:
Army is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Army is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Army is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 6 games
Boston College is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Army
Boston College is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston College's last 10 games
Boston College is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Army at Eastern Michigan, Saturday, October 12th
Boston College at Clemson, Saturday, October 12th