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Point spread favors Hilltoppers in battle with Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red WolvesWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
7-4November 30, 2013, 04:00 | L.T. Smith Stadium7-4

The Red Wolves will be looking to pick up a win and cover the spread when they take on the Hilltoppers in Western Kentucky at L.T. Smith Stadium on Saturday in Week 14 action.

They battle the Red Wolves, currently with a 7-4 mark (5-6 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 4-7 for the Hilltoppers and 6-5 for the Red Wolves.

View Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Odds and Stats.

Bettors looking to side with the Hilltoppers in this one found them as -4-point favorites at GTbets.eu. The over under number was slated to open a short time later.

This game matches up the No. 54 (Hilltoppers) and the No. 71 (Red Wolves) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 32-29 result in favor of the Hilltoppers is predicted by handicapping models.

In their last action, Arkansas State was a 35-33 winner at home against Georgia State. They failed to cover the 24-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (68) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Western Kentucky's No. 58-ranked offense, averaging 30.55 PPG, against a Red Wolves defense that ranks No. 61 this week at 26 PPG. The Hilltoppers aerial game is averaging 262.27 yards per game, more than the Red Wolves secondary allows through the air, 233.45 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Red Wolves own the league's No. 107-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 229.8 yards per game when on the road. Western Kentucky, on the other hand, rates No. 36 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Red Wolves at Hilltoppers trends to consider:
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games
Arkansas State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Arkansas State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games
Western Kentucky is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home