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Point spread favors Hoosiers in battle with Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting IlliniIndiana Hoosiers
3-5November 09, 2013, 03:30 | Memorial Stadium3-5

A key Week 11 battle has the visiting Fighting Illini travelling to Indiana on Saturday to face the Hoosiers.

They battle the Fighting Illini, currently with a 3-5 mark (4-4 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 7-1 for the Hoosiers and 4-4 for the Fighting Illini.

View Illinois Fighting Illini vs Indiana Hoosiers Odds and Stats.

Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Hoosiers as -7.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest.

The Hoosiers sit at No. 90 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Fighting Illini are at No. 92 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Hoosiers will win this game 37-29.

In their last action, Illinois was a 24-17 loser on the road against Penn State. They covered the 11-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (41) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, Illinois's aerial attack generated 321 yards but it was the Nittany Lions coming away with a 24-17 victory over Illinois at Beaver Stadium. Stephen Houston went over the 100-yard mark (111) in his team's latest effort, but Minnesota still defeated Indiana by a score of 42-39.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indiana's No. 9-ranked offense (42 PPG) against a Fighting Illini defense that ranks No. 98 at 32.5 PPG. The Hoosiers passing attack has averaged 333.5 yards per game, more than the Fighting Illini give up through the air (238.62 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Fighting Illini own the league's No. 122-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 292.5 yards per game when on the road. Indiana, on the other hand, rates No. 55 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Fighting Illini at Hoosiers trends to consider:
Illinois is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
Illinois is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 6 games
Illinois is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games at home

Next up:
Illinois at Ohio State, Saturday, November 16th
Indiana at Wisconsin, Saturday, November 16th