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Scott Hastings’ Best College Football Bets: Week 8

Best College Football Bets: Week 8

We swept our two spread bets last week, including our underdog Temple Owls winning outright. That being said, it was the complete opposite on the totals with a few surprising performances, notably Arizona State’s defense disappearing, while Arkansas allowed its fewest points in a game since Week 1. Overall, we finished 2-3 in Week 7 and we have another five bets for Week 8.

Scott Hastings’ Best Bets Record

No. 9 Florida at South Carolina

Florida vs South Carolina Game Center

These two teams head into Week 8 with vastly different emotions. South Carolina is coming off a massive upset at then-No. 3 Georgia 20-17 last week as a 24-point underdog. Meanwhile, Florida tasted defeat for the first time this season, falling 42-28 to the high-octane then-No. 5 LSU Tigers. Even after giving up 42 points to LSU, Florida has allowed an average of only 14.1 points per game, 10th-best in college football. Additionally, the Gamecocks elect to gain much of their yardage through the run game with senior running back Rico Dowdle, but the Gators surrender just 110.9 rushing yards per game.  

Scott’s Pick: Florida -5.5

East Carolina at UCF

East Carolina vs UCF Game Center

Early in the season, the UCF Knights were everyone’s darling, jumping out to a 3-0 SU and ATS record, including a strong win over Stanford. However, the Knights lost the following week at Pitt and last week at Cincinnati, and now UCF is dead to many bettors. I think this is the perfect opportunity to hop on the Knights at home to the East Carolina Pirates. UCF has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings with East Carolina, including the last three in a row with an average winning margin of 29 over those three contests. The Pirates have topped 25 points just once this season and the Knights have allowed the 35th-fewest points per game in 2019. UCF should find a lot of success in Week 8.

Scott’s Pick: UCF -33

Nevada at Utah State

Nevada vs Utah State Game Center

The Utah State Aggies are back in action following their bye looking to get back in the win column after falling at then-No. 5 LSU the week prior 42-6. Meanwhile, after suffering their second blowout loss of the season, the Nevada Wolf Pack rebounded with a narrow 41-38 win over San Jose State last week. Nevada moved on from freshman QB Carson Strong last week and turned to Malik Henry, who led the squad to a season-high 41 points, but its defense gave up 38 points, the fourth time it has yielded more than 30 points this season. The Wolf Pack can’t stop the pass this year, surrendering 297 passing yards per game, the 10th-most in the nation. The Aggies have a better offense and defense and should pound the Wolf Pack.

Scott’s Pick: Utah State -21

West Virginia at No. 5 Oklahoma

West Virginia vs Oklahoma Game Center

The No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners outlasted then-No. 11 Texas last week to win the Red River Showdown 34-27 and remain undefeated. Meanwhile, West Virginia is facing its first losing streak of the season, falling at home to then-No. 11 Texas 42-31 and to Iowa State last week 38-14. As shown in those two scores, the Mountaineers have struggled to slow down their opposition, giving up an average of 30.3 points per game, and are now facing the No. 3 scoring team in the nation in the Sooners (50.2 ppg). The total has gone OVER in each of the last five meetings between these schools with an average combined score of 87, including 115 last year. I know, different teams year over year, but I’ll take a 50-point drop-off and still hit the OVER.

Scott’s Pick: OVER 63

No. 18 Baylor at Oklahoma State

Baylor vs Oklahoma State Game Center

The No. 18 Baylor Bears look to keep their perfect 6-0 record intact as they visit Boone Pickens Stadium with the Oklahoma State Cowboys attempting to avoid their first losing skid of 2019. Baylor and Oklahoma State both rank in the top 20 in points scored per game with the Cowboys collecting 39.8 ppg and the Bears at 37.8 ppg. However, OSU and Baylor have both gone UNDER in three of their last four games. The Bears would have gone UNDER in four straight but had a double-overtime win over Texas Tech last week that went OVER by four points. Additionally, two of the last three meetings between these two schools have gone UNDER and I expect Baylor’s run defense to slow down Oklahoma State running back Chuba Hubbard and keep the score low.

Scott’s Pick: UNDER 67.5