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Southern Methodist Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs in NCAAF odds tilt

TCU Horned FrogsSouthern Methodist Mustangs
Sep 29, 7:00 PM | Turf of Gerald J. Ford Stadium

TCU Horned Frogs vs Southern Methodist Mustangs Odds


In the battle for the Iron Skillet the 1-2 SMU Mustangs host the 3-0 Horned Frogs of TCU Saturday night in Dallas (7 pm ET).

The Frogs were early 18-point favorites over their former Southwest Conference rivals.

View TCU vs Southern Methodist Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The visitors opened as 18.5-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. No total had been posted as yet, check the live lines pages in the coming days to see where the number opened.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Mustangs at No. 75 and the Horned Frogs at No. 12 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 55-16 result in favor of the Horned Frogs.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Southern Methodist's No. 83-ranked offense (26.3 PPG) against a Horned Frogs defense that ranks No. 1 at 4.3 PPG. The Mustangs passing attack has averaged 273.7 yards per game, more than the Horned Frogs give up through the air (172.7 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Horned Frogs feature the league's No. 15-rated road run defense, allowing 77 yards per game. Southern Methodist, meanwhile, ranks No. 119 in rushing offense at home.

TCU was a 27-7 winner in their most recent outing at home against Virginia. They covered the 18.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (34) made winners of UNDER bettors. Casey Pachall's 305-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as TCU earned a 27-7 win over Virginia on Saturday at Amon Carter Stadium.

Southern Methodist lost its last outing, a 48-3 result against Texas A&M on September 15. Southern Methodist failed to cover in that game as a 10-point underdog, while the 51 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Zach Line ran through the Texas A&M defense for 104 yards in Southern Methodist's last game, but the Mustangs still lost a 48-3 decision at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

TCU Horned Frogs Trends:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Southern Methodist Mustangs Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 4-6

A few Horned Frogs at Mustangs trends to consider:
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TCU is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Southern Methodist
TCU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Southern Methodist is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Southern Methodist is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Southern Methodist is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing TCU

Next up:
TCU home to Iowa State, Saturday, October 6
Southern Methodist at Texas El Paso, Saturday, October 6