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Trojans Ride Four-Game Surge into Pac-12 Championship Clash with Stanford


The USC Trojans aim to avenge a 41-22 loss to Stanford in the 2015 Pac-12 championship game when they face the Cardinal in this year’s championship matchup at Levi’s Stadium on Friday night. The Trojans improved to a conference-best 8-1 SU record with last week’s 28-23 win over UCLA as 14.5-point home chalk, while Stanford clinched a fifth trip to the Pac-12 championship with an impressive 38-20 upset of Notre Dame as a 3-point home underdog.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in three of Stanford’s last four games against USC.
  • USC is 6-0 SU in its last six games against its conference.
  • Stanford is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on Friday.

After opening the season on a disappointing 1-8 ATS run, the Trojans turned things around by covering in three of their past four, and are a solid 4-1 SU and ATS in their past five when favored by four or fewer points. However, USC has produced middling results away from home. The Trojans are 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS on the road while allowing 28 points per game, including a 30-27 loss at Washington State as 5-point chalk in Week 5.

The Cardinal closed out their schedule with three straight home victories, including outright wins as betting underdogs over Washington and the Fighting Irish. However, Stanford has struggled on the road, going 3-3 SU this season, and has covered just once in its past seven. Low-scoring affairs have been the norm at Stanford this season. The UNDER has prevailed in six of the Cardinal’s past eight, but the OVER is 4-1 in their past five when the total is pegged at 57 or higher.

USC posted a 42-24 win over the Cardinal as 4-point home chalk earlier this year, ending a three-game SU and ATS slide against Stanford, who averaged over 33 ppg in their past four meetings.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans going with the USC Trojans in this game found them listed as 3-point favorites on the betting odds menu at 5Dimes earlier in the week.

Earlier, OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 36-29 victory for the Trojans. That score may change during the week, if injury or weather factors alter the numbers, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Stanford Cardinal vs USC Trojans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

USC will face the 9-3 Stanford Cardinal, who own a 5-6-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the USC Trojans are 6-6 so far this season while the Cardinal are 5-7. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and USC vs Stanford injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the  Trojans rated this week at No. 34 and the Cardinal sitting at No. 30.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits USC's No. 27-ranked offense, averaging 34.83 PPG, against a Stanford defense that ranks No. 25 this week at 20.67 PPG. The USC aerial game is averaging 292.08 yards per game, more than the Stanford secondary allows through the air, 220 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Cardinal own the league's No. 57-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 166.5 yards per game when on the road. USC, on the other hand, rates No. 36 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Notre Dame was unable to contain Bryce Love in its last action Saturday and the result was a 38-20 Week 13 loss against the Cardinal.

Ronald Jones II tore up the turf for 122 rushing yards in the latest Trojans game, a 28-23 win over the Bruins at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

Betting Trends
  • Stanford is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 8 games
  • Stanford is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Southern California
  • Stanford is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Southern California
  • Southern California is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Southern California is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern California's last 6 games
  • Southern California is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Stanford