The Oregon Ducks (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) seek their fourth straight 40-point performance when they host the Stanford Cardinal (1-2, 0-3). The Cardinal are mired in an 0-8 SU and ATS skid in Pac-12 play, but they did upset the Ducks in overtime last year and have won four of the last six meetings.
Cardinal vs Ducks Opening Odds
Oregon opened as a 15-point favorite but was immediately bet up to as high as -17 at some sportsbooks. The Ducks haven’t been favored by more than two touchdowns in any of the last nine meetings.
Stanford’s Pac-12 Struggles Continue With Blowout Loss In Washington
The Cardinal have started the Pac-12 season in the same fashion they finished last year’s conference slate — blowout losses. Stanford’s 40-22 defeat at Washington was more lopsided than the final score suggests; the Cardinal trailed 30-7 going into the fourth and a long touchdown in the dying minutes made the score more respectable.
Stanford is now 0-8 SU and ATS in its last eight Pac-12 contests, losing those games by an average of 19.4 points. Those numbers won’t get any better Saturday against Oregon if the Cardinal can’t figure out how to do a better job protecting quarterback Tanner McKee, who was sacked eight times last week by the Huskies.
Oregon Offense Averaging More Than 50 Points A Game Since Week 1 Loss
Since opening the year with an embarrassing 49-3 loss at Georgia, Bo Nix and the Oregon offense have been on fire. The Ducks posted their third consecutive 40-point outing last week at Washington State, scoring 29 points in the fourth quarter in a 44-41 come-from-behind victory over the Cougars.
Nix threw three touchdown passes in the win, including a 50-yard strike to Troy Franklin that gave the Ducks the lead with 1:21 to go in regulation, and now has 10 TD throws in his last three outings. Oregon finished the contest with 624 total yards of offense, the second time in three games that the team has generated 600-plus yards.
Cardinal: Keys To Win
The Cardinal have given up at least 40 points in four of their last five Pac-12 outings, so it’s hard to imagine them slowing down the Ducks too much on Saturday. In order to have a shot at the upset, Stanford will need to put up a lot of points, which means providing better protection for McKee and taking better care of the ball than it did in last week’s three-turnover performance.
Ducks: Keys To Win
The Ducks’ biggest challenge this week might be not overlooking Stanford, something they seem to have done recently when facing weaker opposition. Oregon is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games vs teams with losing records, going UNDER in seven of those contests as well.
College Football Computer Pick: Ducks -16.5
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