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TCU Horned Frogs vs New Mexico Lobos in NCAAF odds tilt

New Mexico LobosTCU Horned Frogs
Oct 22, 2:00 PM | Grass of Amon Carter Stadium

New Mexico Lobos vs TCU Horned Frogs Odds


The Horned Frogs will try to win and cover the spread at Amon Carter Stadium on Saturday when they get a visit from the Lobos in Week 8 action.

The Lobos will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 2-4 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Horned Frogs are 3-3 ATS. New Mexico is 3-2-1 against the total, while TCU is 5-1 versus the number.

View New Mexico vs TCU Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Lobos were listed as 40.5-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Horned Frogs sit at No. 35 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Lobos are at No. 112 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Horned Frogs will win this game 45-5.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up TCU's No. 16-ranked offense (39.3 PPG) against a Lobos defense that ranks No. 119 at 44 PPG. The Horned Frogs passing attack has averaged 231.8 yards per game, less than the Lobos give up through the air (287.8 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Lobos feature the league's No. 117-rated road run defense, allowing 298.5 yards per game. TCU, meanwhile, ranks No. 31 in rushing offense at home.

New Mexico lost its last outing, a 49-7 result against Nevada on October 15. New Mexico failed to cover in that game as a 29.5-point underdog, while the 56 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

TCU was a 27-14 winner in its last match on the road against San Diego State. They covered the 4.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 41 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in October are 0-10
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the conference are 1-9

TCU Horned Frogs Trends:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 10-0

A few Lobos at Horned Frogs trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Mexico's last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games when playing TCU
New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
TCU is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
TCU is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of TCU's last 6 games

Next up:
New Mexico home to Air Force, Saturday, October 29
TCU home to BYU, Friday, October 28