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Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators

The Tennessee Volunteers finally found the win column in Week 3 – but oddsmakers don’t expect the good times to continue as the Vols visit the Florida Gators on Saturday afternoon. The Volunteers did as expected, crushing Chattanooga 45-0 last week, but have lost 14 straight road games in September.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators (Matchup Report)
Date/Time: September 21, 12 noon ET
TV Coverage: ESPN
Opening Odds: Florida -14 | O/U 50.0 (Line History)

Opening Odds Analysis

Florida opened as a 14-point favorite (22bet); that’s the largest spread between the teams since 2013, when Florida was favored by 16.5 points but fell just short of a cover in a 31-17 home triumph.

Tennessee News & Notes

Tennessee’s emphatic win over the lowly Mocs might have lowered the temperature a little, but it did little to ease concerns about the Volunteers’ Week 4 matchup with a Gators team that has won its previous seven home games and hasn’t lost to Tennessee in its own stadium since 2003. That’s a streak of seven straight wins, with four coming by double digits.

Tennessee’s hopes of an upset could rest on the shoulders of quarterback Jarrett Guarantano, who needed just eight pass attempts to rack up 142 yards and three scores vs the Mocs. That was an important performance for Guarantano, who completed just under two-thirds of his attempts with four TDs and two INTs in losses to BYU and Georgia State.

Florida News & Notes

The Gators are off to a 3-0 start, but they have a little work to do after narrowly covering in Week 2 and failing to do so in their other two games. And the offense will have a brand-new look in Week 4 after starting quarterback Feleipe Franks suffered a season-ending dislocated ankle in last weekend’s 29-21 victory over the Kentucky Wildcats.

Kyle Trask took over and was solid in relief, completing 13 of 18 passes for 166 yards and a pivotal touchdown pass. But the junior QB has just 40 collegiate pass attempts under his belt, and could find things difficult this weekend against a Volunteers defense that has held opponents to just 149 passing yards per game so far, good for 14th in Division I.

Betting Pick: Tennessee +14

This might have seemed like an unfathomable pick a week ago, but with the Vols having worked out some kinks and the Gators reeling without their starting QB, this looks like a few too many points in favor of the road team.

Shark Bites
  • Tennessee is 0-14 SU in its last 14 games on the road in September.
  • Florida is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games (avg. winning margin: 23.86).
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee’s last 9 games vs Florida (avg. combined score: 51.44).