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Three Awesome Stats For The Sports Bettor

Betting comes down to the numbers so I’m going to take a weekly look at three key betting stats to keep in mind as you make your wagers.

Here we go:  

1. 65 percent

That’s how often the UNDER is cashing in for high totals in college football this season, with numbers set at 65 or higher (15-28 O/U). I wrote before the season that this trend was almost at 50 percent exactly over the past 10 years so you might want to keep an eye out for the OVER moving forward. These kinds of trends tend to even out over time. 

2. 66 percent 

That’s the winning rate by which the Patriots have covered the spread as underdogs since 2000 in the Bill Belichick era. New England gets even better as a home dog at 12-3 against the spread for an 80 percent success rate. They also tend to win these games pretty often straight up (54.3%) so if you like the Pats as dogs looking ahead, you may want to consider some moneyline love. 

3. 67 percent 

Teams that win their division lose at this rate in their next game after the clincher. That’s during the past three years under the current division alignment. This is a popular old betting theory to fade the team after it clinches because they often rest their starters and there’s a champagne hangover effect.

How MLB division winners do the game after they clinch
Since 199939-43
Last 10 years22-23
Last 5 years10-15
Last 3 years5-10

Hope these numbers help you be a sharper bettor this week.

Follow me on Twitter @JonnyOddsShark for more great wagering info.