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Expect Plenty Of Offense When UCF, Navy Meet

Navy and UCF face off this Saturday in a matchup of explosive offenses. Both Navy and UCF are in the top 20 in the nation in yards and points per game – with the Knights averaging a nation-high 50.6 ppg. Despite the high-powered offenses, both Navy and UCF have been having issues going OVER the closing total this season with the two programs combining for a 5-6 O/U record.

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Navy’s last 9 games at home.
  • Navy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games after a loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of UCF’s last 10 games against the AAC.

Navy suffered its first loss of the season last week in a 30-27 defeat at the hands of Memphis, thanks to the Midshipmen’s five turnovers. QB Zach Abey struggled mightily with ball control, throwing two picks and losing three fumbles against Memphis. Of course, Abey still found the end zone on three occasions but if he can’t hold on to the ball, then Navy will quickly find itself falling out of games.

UCF QB McKenzie Milton enters this contest red-hot with the sophomore throwing for 698 yards with seven touchdowns and no turnovers the past two games. Though the offense is humming and the team is undefeated, UCF has some holes to fix on defense. The Knights allowed a couple of explosive plays against a pitiful East Carolina squad last week.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The UCF Knights were listed as 6.5-point favorites on the opening NCAA football line at BetOnline and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week; check out the odds pages here or Bovada for updates.

Earlier, OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 41-28 victory for the Knights. That score may change during the week, if injury or weather factors alter the numbers, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

UCF Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Navy Midshipmen sport a record of 5-1 and 4-2 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the UCF Knights sit at 5-0 and 5-0 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER totals records are 2-4 for the Midshipmen and 3-2 for the Knights. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Navy vs UCF injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Navy Midshipmen rated this week at No. 39 and the UCF Knights sitting at No. 13.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Navy's No. 30-ranked offense, averaging 35.5 PPG, against a UCF defense that ranks No. 14 this week at 16.8 PPG. The Navy aerial game is averaging 81.83 yards per game, less than the UCF Knights secondary allows through the air, 223 YPG per game.

Defensively, the UCF Knights feature the league's No. 13-rated road run defense, allowing 77.5 yards per game. Navy, meanwhile, ranks No. 1 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In UCF's last outing, McKenzie Milton threw for 324 yards to lead the Knights over East Carolina 63-21 at Bright House Networks Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Central Florida's last 13 games
  • Central Florida is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • Navy is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Navy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games
  • Navy is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

UCF home to Austin Peay, Saturday, October 28
Navy at Temple, Thursday, November 2