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Warhawks home to Jaguars in NCAAF betting action

South Alabama JaguarsLouisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Oct 27, 7:00 PM | Grass of Malone Stadium

South Alabama Jaguars vs Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Odds


South Alabama visits Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday, hoping to send the Warhawks to a loss while also covering the spread in NCAAF action at Malone Stadium.

The Warhawks are 5-2 so far on the season, and 6-1 ATS vs. the number. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are 2-5 and 3-4 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Louisiana-Monroe go 5-2 and the Jaguars go 3-3 on the totals.

View South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Louisiana-Monroe were sitting as 24-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 22-rated Warhawks and the No. 104-ranked Jaguars, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 41-19 result in favor of the Warhawks.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Louisiana-Monroe's No. 19-ranked offense, averaging 39.4 PPG, against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 78 this week at 28.3 PPG. The Warhawks aerial game is averaging 291 yards per game, more than the Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 222.1 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Jaguars own the league's No. 35-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 132 yards per game when on the road. Louisiana-Monroe, on the other hand, rates No. 26 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

South Alabama won its last outing, a 37-34 result against Florida Atlantic on October 20. South Alabama failed to cover in that game as a 4.5-point favorite, while the 71 combined points took the game OVER the total. The Jaguars grabbed a Week 8 victory over the Owls in their last game, winning 37-34 at Ladd Peebles Stadium.

Louisiana-Monroe was a 43-42 winner in its last match on the road against Western Kentucky. They covered the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 85 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, Louisiana-Monroe's aerial attack generated 308 yards and the Warhawks came away with a 43-42 victory over Western Kentucky at L.T. Smith Stadium.

South Alabama Jaguars Trends:
When playing in October are 1-1
When playing on grass are 0-3
After being outgained are 1-4
When playing within the conference are 1-2

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Jaguars at Warhawks trends to consider:
South Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
South Alabama is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
South Alabama home to Florida International, Saturday, November 3
Louisiana-Monroe home to Louisiana-Lafayette, Saturday, November 3