After a wild shootout loss to Northern Illinois last week the Toledo Rockets once again play host for the Tuesday night game, this time against the Western Michigan Broncos.
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five meetings against Toledo, but the Rockets won and covered last year in Western Michigan. Austin Dantin threw for 322 yards and five touchdowns in Toledo’s 63-60 loss last Tuesday.
This season the Rockets are 5-4 overall and 5-4 ATS against the number, while the Broncos are 5-4 and 5-4 ATS. As for the totals, Toledo is 5-4 on the OU, and Western Michigan is 5-4.
View Western Michigan vs Toledo Odds and Stats.
Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Broncos in this one found them as 12.5-point underdogs on the Sportsbook college football point spread. The college football over under number was bet up to 68.5 with the best UNDER number at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Rockets sit at No. 12 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Broncos are at No. 59 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Rockets will win this game 41-36.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Toledo's No. 12-ranked offense (39.1 PPG) against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 54 at 25.6 PPG. The Rockets passing attack has averaged 259.8 yards per game, more than the Broncos give up through the air (198.3 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 115-rated road run defense, allowing 267.2 yards per game. Toledo, meanwhile, ranks No. 20 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Western Michigan, they were a 45-35 Sportsbook as they battled Ball State at home. Western Michigan failed to cover in the match as a 11.5-point favorite, while 80 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Last time out for Toledo, they were a 63-60 loser as they battled Northern Illinois at home. Toledo failed to cover in the match as a 9.5-point favorite, while 123 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Western Michigan Broncos Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 6-4
Toledo Rockets Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 8-2
A few Broncos at Rockets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 7 games when playing Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toledo's last 7 games at home
Toledo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Toledo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 7 games when playing Western Michigan
Next up:
Western Michigan at Miami (Ohio), Wednesday, November 16
Toledo at Central Michigan, Friday, November 18
