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Notre Dame Michigan State odds, pick

The Fighting Irish opened as 6-point favorites over the visiting Spartans, who finally found some offense in last week’s rout of Youngstown State.

But they host a team that has clobbered them at home over the years, with the Spartans 7-1 ATS since 1997.

Michigan State scored just one offensive touchdown in opening wins over Western Michigan and South Florida, but exploded for 55 points against Youngstown State. Sophomore QB Connor Cook threw four touchdowns in the win and will need to have another big game against a Notre Dame defense that held the Spartans to three points last season.

The Irish bounced back from a loss at Michigan by coming from behind for a road win at Purdue on Saturday. But it was not an impressive performance by Notre Dame.

The Irish have won the last two meetings against Michigan State and has covered the spread in the last three games against the Spartans.

View Michigan State vs Notre Dame Odds and Stats.

Notre Dame Michigan State Betting Line: The visitors opened as 6-point underdogs in this one at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. The total was 42.5 over at Bovada this morning..

Power Rankings / Prediction: The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Fighting Irish at No. 80 and the Spartans at No. 16 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 37-21 result in favor of the Spartans.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Notre Dame's No. 65-ranked offense (29.7 PPG) against a Spartans defense that ranks No. 12 at 12 PPG. The Fighting Irish passing attack has averaged 326 yards per game, more than the Spartans give up through the air (126.7 YPG on average).

In their last action, Michigan State was a 55-17 winner at home against Youngstown State. They covered the 22.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (72) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Michigan State cruised to victory in its last outing, as they ran up a 55-17 score against Youngstown State at Spartan Stadium.

Notre Dame was a 31-24 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Purdue. They failed to cover the 17-point spread as favorites, while the total score (55) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, Notre Dame's aerial attack generated 309 yards and the Fighting Irish came away with a 31-24 victory over Purdue at Ross-Ade Stadium.

Michigan State Spartans Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 9-1

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few Spartans at Fighting Irish trends to consider:
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Notre Dame is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Notre Dame's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Notre Dame's last 19 games

Next up:
Michigan State at Iowa, Saturday, October 5
Notre Dame home to Oklahoma, Saturday, September 28