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Wildcats vs Bulldogs Preview

Mississippi State BulldogsKentucky Wildcats
Oct 6, 12:21 PM | Grass of Commonwealth Stadium

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats Odds


Getting a win and covering the posted spread will be the goals for the Bulldogs on Saturday when they take on the Wildcats at Commonwealth Stadium in Week 6 action.

The Wildcats sit at 1-4 (1-4 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Bulldogs are currently 4-0 (2-2 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Kentucky is 4-1 OU, and Mississippi State is 0-3 OU.

View Mississippi State vs Kentucky Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Bulldogs in this one found them as 14.5-point underdogs on the opening college football point spread at TopBet. Bookmark the college football odds pages to see where the over under number opens in this game.

Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 77-rated Wildcats and the No. 61-rated Bulldogs in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 48-16 win for the Bulldogs on Saturday.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Kentucky's No. 104-ranked offense, averaging 21.8 PPG, against a Bulldogs defense that ranks No. 13 this week at 13.2 PPG. The Wildcats aerial game is averaging 229.8 yards per game, more than the Bulldogs secondary allows through the air, 213.5 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Bulldogs own the league's No. 91-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 223 yards per game when on the road. Kentucky, on the other hand, rates No. 107 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Last time out for Mississippi State, they were a 30-10 winner as they battled South Alabama at home. Mississippi State failed to cover in the match as a 32-point favorite, while 40 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Mississippi State cruised to victory in its last outing, as they ran up a 30-10 score against South Alabama at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.

Kentucky was a 38-17 loser in its last match at home against South Carolina. They failed to cover the 20-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 55 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Kentucky was hammered in its last outing, as South Carolina ran up a 38-17 score against them at Commonwealth Stadium.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Kentucky Wildcats Trends:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few Bulldogs at Wildcats trends to consider:
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kentucky's last 8 games at home
Kentucky is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Mississippi State
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Mississippi State

Next up:
Mississippi State home to Tennessee, Saturday, October 13
Kentucky at Arkansas, Saturday, October 13