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Broncos Getting no Respect as Defending Super Bowl Champs

The 2015 Denver Broncos proved the old adage true that defense wins championships as their stout D, including the likes of Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware, took their almost anemic offense to the biggest game of the year. Those writing off Denver because of the prospect of Trevor Siemian starting behind center may be breathing a little too much thin air. The tandem of Brock Osweiler and Peyton Manning combined for a 19-23 touchdown to interception ratio but still managed to win the Super Bowl – the Broncos will be just fine this season.

Super Bowl +1800

Before their 2015 championship, Denver last won the Super Bowl in 1998, a successful defense of their 1997 championship. The last team to win consecutive Super Bowls was the New England Patriots, who won the 2004 and 2005 championships. If the Broncos were to defend this year, they would be only the second team in NFL history to successfully win consecutive Super Bowls twice. The other team to complete that feat was the Pittsburgh Steelers who won in '75-'76 and '79-'80. Additionally, four of the last 10 Super Bowl winners have gone on to miss the playoffs the year after winning.

AFC Championship +900

Well, if they are going to defend a Super Bowl win for the second time in franchise history, they will have to first win the AFC and they have the fifth-best odds to do so. Like last year, there will be a ton of parity among the top teams in the AFC with the old stalwarts of New England topping the odds chart. The Broncos are getting very little respect but I think they offer pretty good value at close to 10/1 as they bring back almost the entirety of their league-best defense.

AFC West +200

The AFC West is shaping up to be one of the most competitive divisions in the NFL this season with the Oakland Raiders and the Kansas City Chiefs both looking like formidable, tangibly improved opponents. The Broncos have won the division five straight years and are the favorite to do so again this year.

OVER/UNDER Win Total -  9

Although they are overcoming a lot of turnover at the offensive line position and still have some unanswered questions at quarterback and running back, I expect the Broncos to have a respectable defense of their 2015 Super Bowl and eclipse their expected win total by going 11-5. Bovada is paying -135 for Denver to get over nine wins and if you believe me, that’s easy money.

Their schedule passes the eye test as they are slated to face the objectively weak NFC South division and three of the four teams in the AFC South, the NFL’s weakest division last year. Based on 2015 records, the Broncos have the 14th toughest schedule in the NFL – that’s pretty good for a defending champion.

MVP Odds

You have to scroll way down the odds list to find the first Bronco, Von Miller, in MVP futures markets. The reigning Super Bowl MVP is currently +10000 to take home the hardware. The last defensive player to win MVP though, was Lawrence Taylor in 1986 so I might save my money on that flyer.

2016 Denver Broncos Futures Odds
Super Bowl+1800
AFC Championship+900
AFC West+200
Win Totals 9

Odds as of September 6 at Bovada