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Future Bright For Jaguars, But Present May Be Dim

There is no doubt the Jacksonville Jaguars are a trendy pick to shock the NFL this season. The Jags’ offense is young, fast and has the potential to be one of the best in the NFL in the upcoming years. The front office has made plenty of investments on the defensive side  of the football – both in the draft and through free agency – that could finally pay off for defensive head coach Gus Bradley.

This may be Bradley’s last chance to prove he can bring this team to the promised land though, as he has amassed a woeful 12-36 in three seasons at the helm. The Jags have finished 24th, 26th and 27th in total defense in Bradley’s three seasons as coach. Unless Bradley can make this team become a defensive force – which will mean plenty of progression from younger players – we may see a new regime in Jacksonville sooner rather than later.

Super Bowl +4000

I’m a believer in the Jaguars, but this team winning the Super Bowl is not happening. Maybe in the next few years, but there are a few too many holes throughout this team to expect a Lombardi Trophy this season.

AFC Championship +2200

Let’s assume for a minute that the Jaguars make the playoffs – something they haven’t done since David Garrard was the starting QB – the team has not made it to the conference championship round since 1996.

In order to win the AFC championship the Jags will need to win three consecutive games, something they have done just once since the start of the 2011 season. That rare three-game win streak came in 2013 against the Houston Texans and the Cleveland Browns – two teams that finished that season 2-14 and 4-12 respectively.

AFC South +250

In order to win the AFC South, the Jaguars will need to actually post a winning record within the division. The last time Jacksonville posted a winning record against the AFC South was in 2005 and they have since gone 23-37 against Indianapolis, Houston and Tennessee.

The Jags pass defense was good enough to contain the mediocre starting QBs in the AFC South last season but facing Andrew Luck, Brock Osweiler and Marcus Mariota both twice a season means that the secondary will need to make a step forward. If the DBs can’t progress from last season there is no hope for the Jags to win this division.

OVER/UNDER Win Total 7.5

7.5 wins is ambitious for a team that has won eight games in a season just once in the past eight years. Hell, the team has only eclipsed the 7.5 win mark nine times in their 21-year existence.

In order to make it to .500, the Jaguars will need to win on the road. Jacksonville has gone a godawful 1-15 on the road the past two seasons. That one win came on a last-second field goal against a Baltimore Ravens team that won five games last season.

Gus Bradley To Win Coach of the Year +1600

Bradley winning the NFL Coach of the Year award is not out of the realm of possibility. The Jags are on the verge of exploding and becoming a legit threat in the NFL and if they can make that jump this season, Bradley will be looked at as a genius. A tactician who slowly created a playoff-caliber team with shrewd moves in the draft and free agency.

As it has already been said though, it will rest largely on the defense. The offense should be inside top-10, but the defense needs to actually stop their opponents. It will start up front, as a new-look defensive line featuring Dante Fowler and Malik Jackson will need to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks to generate turnovers.

2016 Jacksonville Jaguars Futures Odds
Super Bowl+4000
AFC Championship+2200
AFC South+250
Win Totals 7.5

Odds as of August 30 at Bovada