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Success for Chiefs Could Come Down to Division Play

The Kansas City Chiefs played safe and steady football during the 2015 season and ended up with a berth in the playoffs as a result. The Chiefs sported the second-best turnover differential in the NFL and their ball-hawking defense – 22 interceptions last season – helped give a mediocre offense a short field to work with. Another playoff appearance in 2016 certainly seems possible with little turnover on the Chiefs’ roster and some question marks within the AFC West.

Super Bowl +2800

In January of 1969, Richard Nixon was the U.S. president, Simon & Garfunkel’s hit album Bridge Over Troubled Water hit the shelves and Andy Reid was 12 years old. That was also the last time the Chiefs have been in the Super Bowl.

You can say it’s been a minute.

KC opens the season at +2800 to win Super Bowl 51, which will be a monumental task. The offense will need to make an immense improvement if they wish to end the nearly 50-year drought in KC, as only one team with an offense ranked in the bottom third in the NFL has won the Super Bowl in the past decade (2013 Ravens).

AFC Championship +1400

If the Chefs want to make a legitimate run at the AFC crown and the Super Bowl, they will need to ensure they can play their best football at the end of the season. They did so in 2015 by closing out the regular season on a 10-game winning streak, but that was the outlier in recent memory. From the 2012 season through 2014, the Chiefs were a combined 5-13 in games in Week 12 or later.

AFC West +220

Dethroning the Denver Broncos atop the AFC West seems like a legitimate possibility for the first time in years, as the club won the division each of the past five seasons. The Chiefs finished second last season, but the possibility of the Broncos regressing is strong – really any team that starts Mark Sanchez will be regressing.

OVER/UNDER Win Total – 9.5

A total of 9.5 seems like a reasonable benchmark for the Chiefs’ success in 2016. KC has won nine or more games in each of Andy Reid’s three seasons in charge while the coach has only had seven seasons with nine or fewer wins in his 17 seasons in charge in the NFL.

If the Chiefs can continue their dominance of the AFC West like they did last season – going 5-1 within the division – then they will be in a position in which they just need to go .500 in their other games to eclipse nine wins.

Jamaal Charles To Lead NFL In Rushing +1600

Jamaal Charles has long been one of the best running backs in the NFL, but he is seemingly dealing with a constant barrage of injuries. Charles has played in 16 games just twice in his career – and one of those was his rookie year that saw him get just 67 carries. However, Charles has averaged 1488 rushing yards in the seasons he has played a full schedule – excluding his rookie year.  If Charles had played last season and rushed for his average, he would have led the NFL in rushing. You’re taking a big gamble on Charles’ knee with this bet, but it does offer some intriguing value.

2016 Kansas City Chiefs Futures Odds
Super Bowl+2800
AFC Championship+1400
AFC West+220
Win Total9.5

Odds as of August 17 at Bovada