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Don't Expect Glitz and Glamour From Rams

A new era of football is dawning for the Rams, as they packed up their bags and moved from St. Louis to Los Angeles this offseason. Though the team features two of the best players in the NFL – Todd Gurley and Aaron Donald – expectations should be set fairly low for what looks like another mediocre season for the Rams.

The Rams are opting to bring No.1 overall pick Jared Goff along slowly, so expect to see a healthy dose of Case Keenum handing the ball off to Gurley this season. But the temptation to start Goff will likely win out sooner rather than later.

Super Bowl +6600

Never mind the Super Bowl, the Rams have not made the postseason since 2004. There are plenty of pieces that could form the nucleus of a Super Bowl contender – Goff, Gurley, Donald, Robert Quinn, Alec Ogletree – but much of the roster is lacking depth.

The wide receiver group largely consists of scrubs, the left side of the offensive line is as stable as Jell-O in house construction and the safety position may be the worst in the NFL.

NFC Championship +3300

Not much here to read that you haven’t already read. The team has gaping holes in their roster and making the playoffs isn’t very likely. Just making it out of the NFC West will be difficult enough with both the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals looking like two of the best teams in the NFC.

NFC West +750

The last time the Rams won the NFC West the top-grossing movie of the year was The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King and Get Rich or Die Tryin’ by 50 Cent was the top-selling album. In order to win the NFC West, the Rams will need to outperform the Seahawks and Cardinals – two teams that have won at least 10 games each of the past three seasons.

OVER/UNDER Season Win Total 7.5

7.5 is the ultimate season win total for any team led by Jeff Fisher. Fisher has been a coach in the NFL for 21 seasons with his teams going 7-9 or 8-8 a staggering 10 times – which includes an overall 27-36 record with the Rams. This is a Rams’ squad that has made few changes since their 7-9 2015 season and will have one of the toughest schedules in the NFL.

Todd Gurley To Win MVP +5000

In order to try to calculate what Gurley must do to win the NFL MVP this season, we will look at the past three running backs to claim the award as a barometer - Adrian Peterson in 2012, LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006 and Shaun Alexander in 2005.

Each of those running backs amassed more than 1800 yards rushing while LT and Alexander both set the records for rushing touchdowns in a season. We would assume that Gurley finding the end zone 28 times would be unlikely, but the 1800 yards seems doable. Gurley averaged 91.3 yards per game rushing in the final 12 games of the season, which would equal 1460 yards in a 16-game schedule. However, there were three games in that span that Gurley had 12 or fewer carries, which hindered his total yardage.

Not saying it’s likely, but there is tremendous value in this long shot.

2016 Los Angeles Rams Futures Odds
Super Bowl+6600
NFC Championship+3300
NFC West+750
Win Total7.5

Odds as of August 26 at Bovada