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Eagles Could Succeed in 2017 But Future Is Still The Key

The Philadelphia Eagles are playing the long game. Howie Roseman, the executive VP of football operations, has proven many wrong by deftly acquiring talent and forming the foundation of a solid contender for the future. First-time head coach Doug Pederson and rookie Carson Wentz struggled at times last season but among the growing pains came promise.

Wentz looks like he could be a star, as long as the team can give him some protection and some weapons to work with. The Eagles spent their limited available cap space on the offense by bringing in LeGarrette Blount, Alshon Jeffery and Chance Warmack while also re-upping Zach Ertz. They decided to fill any holes they had on defense through the draft by using their top three picks on that side of the ball.

Roseman has been wise to keep expectations tempered for the 2017 season, as he knows it is in the organization’s best interests to slowly build around their potential franchise quarterback. It also doesn’t help that the schedule for the Eagles in 2017 isn’t the easiest with the NFC East a competitive crapshoot and dates against Seattle, Oakland and Arizona.

Here’s a look at the Eagles futures entering the 2017 season:

Super Bowl - +4000

I can understand if, as a bettor, you could convince yourself that there is value with this bet. The Eagles have a QB with new flashy weapons at his disposal and the defense was actually solid last season. However, you must remember that the Eagles were 7-9 in 2016. The last time a team coming off a losing season won the Super Bowl was the 1999-2000 St. Louis Rams. I don’t want to be skeptical, but I don’t think this Eagles squad is the second coming of “The Greatest Show On Turf.”

Since that Rams team, the Super Bowl-winning squad has only finished with fewer than 10 wins the season prior to hoisting the Lombardi Trophy on five occasions. So, it’s not to say that is completely impossible for the Eagles in 2017 but it would be a historic feat to see Wentz and company covered in confetti in Minnesota.

Win Total: 8.0

This is a case of a team potentially being better on the field but not better on paper. The Eagles are competing in a division that could realistically see four teams vying for a playoff spot. Their non-divisional games are a mix between tough matchups against playoff contenders (Chiefs, Broncos, Seahawks, Raiders) and games that seem very winnable (Chargers, 49ers, Bears, Rams).

You should expect growth from Wentz and the offense but it will take time and starting the season on the road for three of your first four games isn’t easy for a young squad. If the Eagles want to win more than eight games, they need to mesh quickly and avoid a late slump because their schedule in December is brutal.

All things considered, 8-8 would be a solid year for Philly. However, I expect some growing pains to lead to at least one or two unexpected losses, which could mean a sub-.500 record.

NFC East: +400

For every potentially negative thing I said about the Eagles in the above section, the team could still surprise. The NFC East is competitive and the Eagles are in the thick of it. One would imagine the Cowboys would regress slightly, the Redskins will be breaking in a new offensive coordinator and the Giants have not posted back-to-back winning seasons since 2011. 

Winning the NFC is in the cards for the Eagles if everything goes right. If Blount remains a TD machine, if Jeffery stays healthy for once and if some rookies can stabilize the secondary, then the Eagles are sitting pretty.

I would avoid the “Odds To Make The Playoffs” prop because the NFC East is so tightly contested that seeing any team in the division winning 10 games seems like enough to win. That means the rest of the division likely falls somewhere between six and nine wins, which likely won’t be good enough to win a wild-card spot.

Alshon Jeffery To Lead NFL In Receiving Yards: +5000

Jeffery has a stupid amount of talent, he just needs to stop getting hurt. In the two seasons he played a full 16-game season, Jeffery averaged 87 receptions and 1277 receiving yards. Assuming he can stay on the field, Jeffery should be able to at the very least replicate those numbers.

Wentz at least should put up comparable numbers to any of the QBs Jeffery had throwing him the football in Chicago and you should expect him to progress in his sophomore campaign. Offensive coordinator Frank Reich has been around plenty of great QB-WR duos in his career, something that is not a coincidence.

At the very least, you need to like this value. Other players that sit at the same odds as Jeffery are Golden Tate, Travis Kelce and Sammy Watkins.

2017 Philadelphia Eagles Futures Odds
Super Bowl+4000
NFC Championship+2000
NFC East+400
Win Total 8.0

Odds as of August 17 at Bovada