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3 Reasons Why the Patriots Will Win and cover in Super Bowl 52

Another Super Bowl is upon us and it’s another appearance by the New England Patriots. The AFC powerhouse will be gunning for a sixth Super Bowl win vs the Philadelphia Eagles and, naturally, the Patriots are favorites after dispatching the upstart Jacksonville Jaguars in the AFC title game. Here are three reasons why the Pats will not only win but cover!

Reason No. 1 - Tom Brady

You can’t talk about the reasons for the Patriots’ success without discussing Tom Brady and Bill Belichick (more on him later). The avocado smoothie-drinking, age-defying, model-marrying SOB is at the pinnacle of his powers and is living the American dream. The four-time Super Bowl MVP winner continues to outperform his birth certificate and had another stellar regular season that should see him claim his third NFL MVP award.

In Tom Brady’s last 10 playoff games, he has thrown 20 touchdowns and is 9-1 SU.

But where the G.O.A.T. has come through the most is in the postseason. In Brady’s last 10 playoff games, he has thrown 20 touchdowns and is 9-1 SU. He also seems to save his best performances for last as evidenced by his output vs the Seahawks in Super Bowl 49 (328 yards passing and four TDs) and vs the Falcons in Super Bowl 51 (466 yards passing and two TDs).

If that’s not enough to convince you, just look at his stats in Super Bowls. Tom Terrific has thrown 15 touchdowns and five interceptions in seven Super Bowl appearances with a completion rate just under 67 percent. If the Patriots plan to stomp the Eagles’ title hopes, it will all hinge on TB12.

Reason No. 2 - Bill Belichick

You can’t mention Tom Brady without the Hoodie. Bill Belichick is one of the greatest head coaches in the history of the NFL and has won just under 67 percent of his games as the Patriots mastermind. His adaptability and scouting have consistently turned this roster into a contender every year despite not having a high pick in the NFL draft since 2008.

THE Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games and they’ve covered in their last 13 games when favored by 7 points or less.

Where Belichick thrives is with adjustments. In their last two Super Bowl wins, the Patriots had double-digit deficits vs Seattle and Atlanta and looked dead in the water. But his choices to alter his defensive schemes and switch to a hurry-up offense helped the Patriots overcome what felt like insurmountable odds and steered them to victory. It’s also worth noting that under the Hoodie’s watch, the Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games and they’ve covered in their last 13 games when favored by 7 points or less.

Another facet where Belichick excels is being given extra time to prep for an opponent. Since taking over as New England’s head coach in 2000, the Patriots are 28-8 SU when given an extra week to prepare and execute Belichick’s game plan.

Reason No. 3 – Patriots Weapons

Arguably the most dominant tight end to ever play the game is on the Patriots roster. And Rob Gronkowski didn’t even play the second half of the AFC title game vs the Jaguars or during last year’s Super Bowl run. The “next man up” mentality is the Patriots’ mantra and shows that even when a generational talent like Gronk goes down with an injury, the cupboard is stocked on the Pats roster to have another skill player step up.

If we go back to last year’s Super Bowl, James White had been utilized very sparingly during the season and only had five touchdowns all season. Fast-forward to 28-3 in Super Bowl 51 and White reeled off three touchdowns in a half and if it wasn’t for the Golden Boy’s presence, he would’ve been Super Bowl MVP.

The point I’m trying to make is opposing teams can’t game-plan properly for the Patriots offense because you never know whose day it’s going to be. One game has Danny Amendola catching two touchdowns in the AFC championship and the next it’s Chris Hogan busting the coverage and taking down the secondary over the top for a long touchdown catch. When there are that many offensive dynamos being cultivated in Foxborough, opponents don’t stand a chance at stopping this juggernaut.

Despite these convincing points, Justin Hartling disagrees and thinks the Philadelphia Eagles will win Super Bowl 52. You can check out his argument here. 

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