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Odds to Win the AFC West: How Has Mahomes’ Injury Affected the Chiefs’ Odds?

Odds to Win the AFC West

The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to go on without star quarterback Patrick Mahomes for the time being, but oddsmakers aren’t expecting the absence of the 2018 NFL MVP to impact K.C.’s chances to win the AFC West.

As of October 18, the Chiefs were sitting as heavy -350 favorites to win the AFC West at Bovada, with the Oakland Raiders (+700), Los Angeles Chargers (+800) and Denver Broncos (+1000) all available in plus money.

Chiefs’ AFC West Odds are Holding Firm

Prior to Kansas City’s 30-6 victory over Denver in the Week 7 edition of Thursday Night Football, the Chiefs’ odds to win the West were at -325. Despite Mahomes suffering a gruesome knee injury in the game, the Chiefs’ likelihood of claiming the AFC West title improved at the sportsbook. The Chiefs were +850 to win the Super Bowl, +350 to win the AFC and -800 to make the postseason before the injury.

According to Ian Rapaport of NFL Network, an MRI has confirmed Mahomes suffered a dislocated kneecap but avoided suffering significant additional damage. The expected timetable for Mahomes’ return is three weeks. With the Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings and Tennessee Titans on deck in the coming weeks, it’s going to be up to veteran backup QB Matt Moore to keep the Chiefs afloat until Mahomes is healthy enough to play again.

Now is the Time for Raiders, Chargers to Step Up

Is there value on betting any of the other three teams in the division right now? Unless you’re a Jon Gruden believer or you think the Chargers’ issues so far have been a fluke, it’s hard to find positive reasoning to do so. The 5-2 Chiefs are still an immensely talented and well-coached team even without Mahomes, and I find it hard to believe that they’ll be doormats going forward. Look at the New Orleans Saints this season in the absence of Drew Brees – losing your starting QB is not a death blow in the NFL if your team is good enough.

Do you think the Chiefs are locks to win the AFC West, or will another club step up and make a run for the division title? Have your say in the comment section.

Odds to Win the AFC West
TeamOdds
Kansas City Chiefs-350
Oakland Raiders+700
Los Angeles Chargers+800
Denver Broncos+1000

Odds as of October 18 at Bovada


Reading AFC South Odds

When you visit your sportsbook of choice, you’ll see AFC South Championship odds laid out like they are in the above table. The team with the lowest odds is the favorite. For instance, if you think the Colts at +140 are the team to beat, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $240 – your original $100 comes back along with your winnings of $140.

On the other hand, if you think the Titans look good at +700 and believe they’ll slowly inch their way to an AFC South championship, that same $100 would give you a payout of $800 – your $100 is returned, coupled with your winnings of $700.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

It’s important to keep in mind that underdogs (in this case, the team with the highest odds) are that way for a reason. Oddsmakers don’t mess around with futures lines – more on that below – because they know how important this kind of bet is to bettors and betting sites alike.

What is a Futures Bet for the AFC South?

This is a bet made on events that have yet to happen. It can be argued that all sports betting is on things that haven’t taken place yet; however, a futures bet can be made months or even weeks in advance.

Prior to the beginning of the NFL season, oddsmakers look at each team’s past records, off-season moves and schedule to set their odds. As the games are played and coaches are fired, players succumb to injuries, and squads climb or fall in the standings, the odds will change. Because of these line movements, we suggest taking odds you like as soon as you see them.