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Odds to Win the AFC West: How Has Mahomes’ Injury Affected the Chiefs’ Odds?

Odds to Win the AFC West

The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to go on without star quarterback Patrick Mahomes for the time being, but oddsmakers aren’t expecting the absence of the 2018 NFL MVP to impact K.C.’s chances to win the AFC West.

As of October 18, the Chiefs were sitting as heavy -350 favorites to win the AFC West at Bovada, with the Oakland Raiders (+700), Los Angeles Chargers (+800) and Denver Broncos (+1000) all available in plus money.

Chiefs’ AFC West Odds are Holding Firm

Prior to Kansas City’s 30-6 victory over Denver in the Week 7 edition of Thursday Night Football, the Chiefs’ odds to win the West were at -325. Despite Mahomes suffering a gruesome knee injury in the game, the Chiefs’ likelihood of claiming the AFC West title improved at the sportsbook. The Chiefs were +850 to win the Super Bowl, +350 to win the AFC and -800 to make the postseason before the injury.

According to Ian Rapaport of NFL Network, an MRI has confirmed Mahomes suffered a dislocated kneecap but avoided suffering significant additional damage. The expected timetable for Mahomes’ return is three weeks. With the Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings and Tennessee Titans on deck in the coming weeks, it’s going to be up to veteran backup QB Matt Moore to keep the Chiefs afloat until Mahomes is healthy enough to play again.

Now is the Time for Raiders, Chargers to Step Up

Is there value on betting any of the other three teams in the division right now? Unless you’re a Jon Gruden believer or you think the Chargers’ issues so far have been a fluke, it’s hard to find positive reasoning to do so. The 5-2 Chiefs are still an immensely talented and well-coached team even without Mahomes, and I find it hard to believe that they’ll be doormats going forward. Look at the New Orleans Saints this season in the absence of Drew Brees – losing your starting QB is not a death blow in the NFL if your team is good enough.

Do you think the Chiefs are locks to win the AFC West, or will another club step up and make a run for the division title? Have your say in the comment section.

Odds to Win the AFC West
TeamOdds
Kansas City Chiefs-350
Oakland Raiders+700
Los Angeles Chargers+800
Denver Broncos+1000

Odds as of October 18 at Bovada