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AFC West Odds: Chiefs Still Runaway Favorites

Coming off back-to-back Super Bowl appearances, the Kansas City Chiefs are the runaway favorite in 2021 AFC West odds, to nobody’s surprise.

Bovada is giving the Chiefs -275 odds to win the AFC West, followed by the Los Angeles Chargers at +500 and Denver Broncos at +600. Despite playing the Chiefs close twice in 2020, the Las Vegas Raiders sit with the worst AFC West odds at +1800.

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What Team Leads AFC West Odds?

Odds to Win AFC West in 2021
TeamOpening Odds
Kansas City Chiefs-275
Los Angeles Chargers+500
Denver Broncos+600
Las Vegas Raiders+1800

Odds as of September 9 at Bovada

AFC West Odds Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs

Do the Chiefs need any explanation? Back-to-back Super Bowls, the best quarterback in football, a loaded roster and a reworked offensive line. All indications point to the Chiefs locking up another AFC West title with ease.

Kansas City’s biggest flaw in 2020, which was exposed in the Super Bowl, was a thin offensive line. So, the Chiefs casually went about trading for young tackle Orlando Brown Jr., signing top free-agent lineman Joe Thuney and adding guard Kyle Long as insurance. Kansas City didn’t make many other moves in the offseason, but they fixed their only glaring weakness and that should be enough.

AFC West Value Picks

Denver Broncos

The Broncos added cornerback Patrick Surtain and selected RB Javonte Williams in the 2021 NFL Draft, but their 2021 upside comes from getting healthy. The Broncos will regain Courtland Sutton and pass-rusher Von Miller this season, adding some much-needed high-end talent to a Denver squad that won just five games last year.

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However, if the Broncos are to push the Chiefs at all, or simply compete for a playoff spot, they’ll need consistent QB play. Teddy Bridgewater was announced as the starting QB for Week 1 of the season. Teddy will be on a short leash as Drew Lock is right behind him if he gets off to a slow start.

Los Angeles Chargers

The Los Angeles Chargers showed some life in 2020. While they finished just 7-9, Justin Herbert’s Chargers won the last four games of the season and drew some attention heading into 2021. With a new scheme and head coach, the Chargers have the value status to perhaps be a worthy bet to snag the AFC West at +500.

The Chargers didn’t make many flashy moves this offseason, but they invested in the health and future of Herbert, signing top free-agent center Corey Linsley and drafting tackle Rashawn Slater in the first round. If something disastrous happens in Kansas City and another team steps into first in the division, I’d bet on the Chargers to be that squad.

Don’t Count Out The AFC West Sleeper

Las Vegas Raiders

Jon Gruden’s squad managed to beat the elite Chiefs once last year and fell just short of topping them a second time, but the Raiders now find themselves with the worst odds to win the AFC West.

The Raiders added some veteran free agents like pass-rusher Yannick Ngakoue, WR John Brown and RB Kenyan Drake, but they also suffered big losses this offseason. Rodney Hudson and Trent Brown are gone off the offensive line as the Raiders attempted to get younger and faster. Without the core players in the trenches, Las Vegas may take a step back this season.

How To Read AFC West Odds

When you visit your sportsbook of choice, you’ll see AFC West odds laid out like they are in the above table. The team with the lowest odds is the favorite. For instance, if you think the Chiefs at -275 are the team to beat, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $136.36 – your original $100 comes back along with your winnings of $36.36.

On the other hand, if you think the Broncos look good at +600 and believe they’ll shock the Chiefs and snag the AFC West title, that same $100 would give you a payout of $700 – your $100 is returned, coupled with your winnings of $600.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

It’s important to keep in mind that underdogs (in this case, the team with the highest odds) are that way for a reason. Oddsmakers don’t mess around with futures lines – more on that below – because they know how important this kind of bet is to bettors and betting sites alike.

What Is A Futures Bet For The AFC West?

This is a bet made on events that have yet to happen. It can be argued that all sports betting is on things that haven’t taken place yet; however, a futures bet can be made weeks or even months in advance.

Prior to the beginning of the NFL season, oddsmakers look at each team’s past records, offseason moves and schedule to set their odds. As the games are played and coaches are fired, players succumb to injuries, and squads climb or fall in the standings, the odds will change. Because of these line movements, we suggest taking odds you like as soon as you see them.