Events
NFL
Arizona
Cardinals
2 - 8
Los Angeles
Chargers
7 - 3
November 25, 2018, 4:05 PM EST
 | Dignity Health Sports Park

Game Preview

Arizona
Cardinals
2 - 8
Los Angeles
Chargers
7 - 3
November 25, 2018, 4:05 PM EST
 | Dignity Health Sports Park

  • The Los Angeles Chargers were quietly one of the best teams in the league heading into last weekend, but they took a step back when they lost on a last-second field goal to the Broncos at home. It was their first loss of the season to a team not named the Rams or Chiefs. They have a great opportunity to bounce back Sunday when they take on the lowly Cardinals, a team that is absolutely abysmal offensively.

    The Chargers opened as 12-point favorites at home while the total sits at 45.

    Shark Bites
    • The total has gone UNDER in the Chargers’ last four games (avg. combined score: 38.0).
    • The Cardinals are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdog.
    • The Cardinals are 5-25 SU and 10-18-2 ATS in their last 30 games on the road vs teams with winning records.

    Cardinals vs Chargers Game Center

    My Pick: Chargers will cover the spread

    There’s a plethora of quarterbacks this season who are having career years, but Philip Rivers’ name seems to get lost in the mix compared to guys like Patrick Mahomes and Drew Brees who are having historic seasons. Regardless, the Chargers gunslinger deserves some major respect.

    Rivers is on pace to set career highs in QB rating and passing touchdowns, and his completion percentage and passing yards aren’t far off personal bests either. He’s playing as well as he ever has, and I expect him to come out firing against the Cardinals to make up for the frustrating loss he suffered to the Broncos last week.

    He isn’t the only one on the offense who is on track to set career highs. Running back Melvin Gordon is also on pace to break personal records in just about every rushing and receiving statistic. He stands sixth in the league among running backs in yards from scrimmage and is the perfect complement to Rivers’ passing attack.

    The Chargers lead the NFL in net yards per play this season, which is a statistic that many football bettors like to look at to get a better understanding of how a team is performing. The stat deducts the number of yards allowed per play on defense from the number of yards gained per play on offense. Los Angeles leads the entire league with a +1.2-yard differential, while the Cardinals rank second-last with a -1-yard differential.

    Our Super Computer agrees with me on this pick as well, as it has the Chargers covering the spread by a mile and beating Arizona by 31 points.

    It’s also interesting to note that underdogs are 83-68-8 ATS so far this season, so I expect these numbers to start to even out in the coming weeks considering from 2013 to 2017 they covered only 49.7 percent of the time compared to covering in 54.9 percent of games this season. Fading underdog spreads may be a viable option moving forward.

    The Chargers can certainly put up points, but what makes me most confident in taking them to beat the spread is how horrific the Cardinals offense is.

    The Cardinals offense is the worst in the league

    If it wasn’t for the Cardinals’ adequate defense, they would most likely be winless right now and on pace for a historically bad season because their offense is completely dreadful. Instead of describing the numerous statistical categories that the Cards are terrible in, allow me to just list them for you.

    Offensive statistics that the Cardinals rank dead last in:
    • Yards per game (240.8)
    • Time of possession (25:46)
    • 1st downs per game (14.4)
    • 3rd-down percentage (29%)
    • Rushing yards per game (78.8)
    • Yards per rush (3.6)
    • FG % (67)

    In just about every stat that isn’t listed above, they’re second-last to the Bills. This includes points per game (14.5), yards per play (4.2) and passing yards per game (162).

    Arizona’s rookie quarterback Josh Rosen has shown flashes of competence, but he’s having an overall rough rookie season. He has the worst completion percentage among current starting QBs at 54.8, and he’s already thrown for 10 interceptions, which has resulted in a gross quarterback rating of 68.5.

    The numbers truly do speak for themselves. The Cardinals offense is atrocious. Barring this game taking place in Bizarro World, the Chargers will only need to score in the 20s to beat the Cardinals and cover the spread.

    My take on the total

    I like the UNDER in this game. The total has gone UNDER in the Chargers’ last four games, with an average score of 38 points, which is seven points below the current set total of 45.

    The main reason why I like the UNDER is that I don’t trust the Cardinals to score enough points. The Chargers will have to put up 30-plus for the OVER to hit, but that will be a tough challenge considering Arizona’s defense isn’t nearly as bad as its offense. It ranks in the middle of the league in most statistics.

    The Cardinals team total has yet to be posted but if it’s 14 points or higher, I would recommend taking the UNDER on their team total as well.

Back to Matchup

Odds

Sunday, November 25 Sun Nov 25

Opening
Current
Arizona
vsFinal
LA Chargers
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+11.5
-110
+460
o44
-110
-11.5
-110
-625
u44
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+14
-110
+635
o43.5
-110
-14
-110
-850
u43.5
-110
Line History
Final

Edge Finder

20.00
 Total Score
23.39
213.29
 Passing Yards
268.72
110.18
 Rushing Yards
88.39
30:14
 Time on Field
30:48
67.29
 Number of Plays
67.94
4.81
 Yards Per Play
5.26
20.00
 Total Score
23.39
2.41
 First Quarter
3.94
7.53
 Second Quarter
11.28
3.29
 Third Quarter
2.89
6.41
 Fourth Quarter
5.11
213.29
 Passing Yards
268.72
39.06
 Pass Attempts
41.89
25.47
 Pass Completions
28.33
2.71
 Sacks
2.33
20.00
 Sack Yards
12.61
8.37
 Yards Per Pass
9.48
110.18
 Rushing Yards
88.39
25.53
 Rush Attempts
23.72
4.32
 Yards Per Rush
3.73
1.00
 Interceptions
0.56
1.47
 Fumbles
1.11
0.47
 Fumbles Lost
0.50
1.47
 Total Turnovers
1.06
6.94
 Penalties
4.89
53.88
 Penalty Yards
37.61
30:14
 Time on Field
30:48
67.29
 Number of Plays
67.94
4.81
 Yards Per Play
5.26
4.00
 Punts
4.33
46.43
 Punt Average
43.46
71.82
 Return Yards
61.28

Head To Head

ARI
 Stat Type LAC
3-4
 Record
4-3
3-4
 ATS
4-3
3-4
 O/U
3-4
17.71
 Score
23.71
68.43
 Rush Yds
125.14
35.00
 Pass Attempts
34.14
57.55
 Completion %
62.34
235.57
 Passing Yds
236.86
304
 Total Yds
362
1.71
 Turnovers
2.29
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
1-2
 Record
2-1
1-2
 ATS
2-1
2-1
 O/U
2-1
16.00
 Score
28.33
84.67
 Rush Yds
133.67
32.33
 Pass Attempts
27.67
62.89
 Completion %
68.67
242.33
 Passing Yds
231.67
327
 Total Yds
365.33
2.00
 Turnovers
1.00
Sep 8/14 (1 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Home
Away
18
 Score
17
-3
 ATS
+3
45.5 o
 O/U
45.5 u
109
 Rush Yds
52
37
 Pass Attempts
36
64.86
 Completion %
58.33
294
 Passing Yds
238
403
 Total Yds
290
2
 Turnovers
1
Oct 3/10 (2 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Away
Home
10
 Score
41
+10
 ATS
-10
47.5 o
 O/U
47.5 u
47
 Rush Yds
180
28
 Pass Attempts
21
53.57
 Completion %
76.19
87
 Passing Yds
239
134
 Total Yds
419
3
 Turnovers
1
Dec 31/06 (3 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Away
Home
20
 Score
27
+14
 ATS
-14
44.5 o
 O/U
44.5 u
98
 Rush Yds
169
32
 Pass Attempts
26
68.75
 Completion %
76.92
346
 Passing Yds
218
444
 Total Yds
387
1
 Turnovers
1
Sep 22/02 (4 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Home
Away
15
 Score
23
+3
 ATS
-3
39.5 o
 O/U
39.5 u
97
 Rush Yds
125
36
 Pass Attempts
31
47.22
 Completion %
54.84
200
 Passing Yds
164
297
 Total Yds
289
3
 Turnovers
1
Nov 25/01 (5 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Away
Home
20
 Score
17
+7
 ATS
-7
45 o
 O/U
45 u
71
 Rush Yds
84
31
 Pass Attempts
44
61.29
 Completion %
75.00
227
 Passing Yds
308
298
 Total Yds
392
2
 Turnovers
1
Dec 27/98 (6 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Home
Away
16
 Score
13
-7.5
 ATS
+7.5
40 o
 O/U
40 u
25
 Rush Yds
174
41
 Pass Attempts
40
48.78
 Completion %
40.00
245
 Passing Yds
203
270
 Total Yds
377
0
 Turnovers
5
Dec 9/95 (7 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Away
Home
25
 Score
28
+8
 ATS
-8
38.5 o
 O/U
38.5 u
32
 Rush Yds
92
40
 Pass Attempts
41
60.00
 Completion %
63.41
250
 Passing Yds
288
282
 Total Yds
380
1
 Turnovers
6
Dec 6/92 (8 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Home
Away
21
 Score
27
+5.5
 ATS
-5.5
36.5 o
 O/U
36.5 u
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
60.00
 Completion %
60.00
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0
Oct 1/89 (9 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Home
Away
13
 Score
24
-5
 ATS
+5
42.5 o
 O/U
42.5 u
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
60.00
 Completion %
60.00
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0
Sep 20/87 (10 of 10)
ARI
 Stat Type LAC
Away
Home
24
 Score
28
+5
 ATS
-5
42 o
 O/U
42 u
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
60.00
 Completion %
60.00
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0

Team Records

ARI
 Record LAC
2-8
 All
7-3
1-5
 Home
3-2
1-3
 Away
4-1
5-4-1
 ATS
5-5
3-3
 ATS Home
1-4
2-1-1
 ATS Away
4-1
4-6
 O/U
5-5
2-4
 O/U Home
2-3
2-2
 O/U Away
3-2
ARI
 Record LAC
2-5
 All
5-2
1-3
 Home
2-2
1-2
 Away
3-0
4-2-1
 ATS
4-3
3-1
 ATS Home
1-3
1-1-1
 ATS Away
3-0
2-5
 O/U
3-4
0-4
 O/U Home
1-3
2-1
 O/U Away
2-1
ARI
 Record LAC
2-2
 All
2-2
1-1
 Home
1-2
1-1
 Away
1-0
3-1
 ATS
2-2
2-0
 ATS Home
1-2
1-1
 ATS Away
1-0
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0-0
 O/U Home
0-0
0-0
 O/U Away
0-0
ARI
 Record LAC
2-8
 All
7-3
1-5
 Home
3-2
1-3
 Away
4-1
5-4-1
 ATS
5-5
3-3
 ATS Home
1-4
2-1-1
 ATS Away
4-1
4-6
 O/U
5-5
2-4
 O/U Home
2-3
2-2
 O/U Away
3-2

Gametime Weather

Weather
1:00 pm EST Partly Cloudy
22ºC / 71ºF
53% Humidity
1% Precipitation
50% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 6
 mph

Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
  • Arizona are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games.
  • Arizona are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against LA Chargers.
  • Arizona are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against LA Chargers.
  • Arizona are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
  • Arizona are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers.
  • Arizona are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • Arizona are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games played in week 12.
  • LA Chargers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 6 games.
  • LA Chargers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 6 games against Arizona.
  • LA Chargers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona.
  • LA Chargers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference West division.
  • LA Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in November.
  • LA Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 12.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Budda BakerSIR, Hamstring
Carlos WatkinsDEIs out indefinitely, Biceps
Josh WoodsLBIs "?" Sunday vs San Francisco, Ankle
L.J. CollierDEIR, Biceps
Krys BarnesLBLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs San Francisco, Hand
Zaven CollinsLBLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs San Francisco, Eye
Name Position Inj Desc
Eric KendricksLBIs "?" Sunday vs Las Vegas, Hamstring
Mike WilliamsWRIR; is out for season, Knee
Austin EkelerRBIs "?" Sunday vs Las Vegas, Ankle
Derwin James Jr.SLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs Las Vegas, Hamstring
Sebastian Joseph-DayDTLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs Las Vegas, Neck
Christopher HintonDTIs "?" Sunday vs Las Vegas, Back

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 18, 2018OAK21-23L-4.5/41L/O1541282821521733252
Nov 11, 2018KC14-26L+16/49.5W/U941662601182123302
Oct 28, 2018SF18-15W+2.5/40W/U882333211071602672
Oct 18, 2018DEN10-45L+1/42L/O691542231311783094
Oct 14, 2018MIN17-27L+10/43.5P/O612082691952164110
Oct 7, 2018SF28-18W+3/40.5W/O56164220147300447-5
Sep 30, 2018SEA17-20L+3.5/40W/U921712631711603311
Sep 23, 2018CHI14-16L+5.5/39W/U531682211221943162
Sep 16, 2018LAR0-34L+11/43L/U5483137903424320
Sep 9, 2018WAS6-24L-2/43.5L/U681452131822474291
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 18, 2018DEN22-23L-7/47L/U953844791082173252
Nov 11, 2018OAK20-6W-10/50.5W/U1132223351142033170
Nov 4, 2018SEA25-17W+1/48.5W/U160215375154202356-1
Oct 21, 2018TEN20-19W-6.5/46L/U47297344164226390-1
Oct 14, 2018CLE38-14W+1/47W/O246203449103214317-1
Oct 7, 2018OAK26-10W-5.5/51.5W/U7933341241248289-2
Sep 30, 2018SF29-27W-10/46.5L/O12624236876288364-1
Sep 23, 2018LAR23-35L+7/49L/O1412153561713505210
Sep 16, 2018BUF31-20W-7.5/41.5W/O10924034984209293-2
Sep 9, 2018KC28-38L-3/48.5L/O1234185411062563622
View Game Logs