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OVER Bettors Sizing up Falcons-Rams Tilt

In the midst of another lost season, the Los Angeles Rams decided to give embattled head coach Jeff Fisher a contract extension last weekend and immediately lost 26-10 to the New England Patriots. With another setback, he’ll tie Dan Reeves for the most losses in NFL history. Oddsmakers initially set the Rams as 5.5-point underdogs with an OVER/UNDER of 46.

Shark Bites
  • The Rams are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games at home after consecutive road games.
  • The Falcons are 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on the West Coast.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Falcons' last eight games in December.

OVER bettors will be lining up at the betting window in this one. The OVER has paid out in five of the past six meetings between the Rams and Falcons. Atlanta is one of the best OVER teams in the NFL, owning a 10-2 O/U mark.

The Falcons have been an abysmal bet when given the favorite label, though. Atlanta is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 as chalk. Matt Ryan and company failed to cover the spread as 5-point faves in Week 12’s 29-28 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs.

Since starting the campaign with a 3-1 SU record, the Rams have been downright unwatchable and a terrible team to bet on. L.A. is 1-6-1 ATS since Week 5. The Rams are posting a league-worst 284 yards per game while averaging only 15 – also last in the NFL.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The point spread was settled in at 4.5 for the host Los Angeles Rams earlier in the week, according to Bovada. The over under betting line was hovering around 46, with odds movement expected during the week at MyBookie.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 27-18 victory for the Falcons. Or check out PredictionMachine.com for additional NFL picks from that industry leader in advanced analytics. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Los Angeles Rams are 4-8 so far on the season, and 4-7-1 ATS vs the point spread. The Atlanta Falcons, meanwhile, are 7-5 and 7-5 ATS. Those over under betting have seen Los Angeles go 4-8 and the Atlanta Falcons go 10-2 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Los Angeles vs Atlanta injuries news.

The game pits the Los Angeles Rams, currently No. 29 in our Odds Shark NFL Power Rankings, against the Atlanta Falcons, who rate No. 5 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Los Angeles's No. 32-ranked offense, averaging 15 PPG, against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 29 this week at 27.58 PPG. The Rams aerial game is averaging 204.83 yards per game, less than the Falcons secondary allows through the air, 280.58 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Atlanta Falcons own the league's No. 21-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 117.67 yards per game when on the road. Los Angeles, on the other hand, rates No. 30 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Betting Trends
  • Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
  • Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Los Angeles is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Los Angeles is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
  • Los Angeles is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Atlanta home to San Francisco, Sunday, December 18th
Los Angeles at Seattle, Thursday, December 15th