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Saints are Going OVER in the Bayou State

The Atlanta Falcons (1-1) and New Orleans Saints (0-2) have gotten together for a lot of entertaining games throughout the years, and another intriguing matchup is on tap for the Week 3 edition of Monday Night Football at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

Shark Bites
  • The Falcons are 1-8 SU in their last nine games against the NFC.
  • The Falcons are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games against the Saints.
  • The Falcons are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games.

When other teams travel to the Bayou State, high-scoring affairs tend to follow. The OVER has paid out in each of the Saints’ last six home games. Oddsmakers opened the total for the contest at 53.5.

When it comes to the spread, bettors will want to be careful approaching the Saints in this position. Drew Brees and company are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four games when tabbed as favorites of three points or less. Books opened the Saints as 3-point chalk for the affair.

If Atlanta’s first two games are any indication, they could very well be one of the best OVER teams in the NFL. Both of the Falcons’ opening contests went above the total, including last week’s solid 35-28 victory over the upstart Oakland Raiders. The Falcons have a bevy of offensive weapons and a subpar defense, which is a great recipe for OVERs.

New Orleans is still seeking its first win of the new NFL campaign, but don’t fault Brees for the goose egg in the win column. The veteran QB passed Dan Marino to become third in all-time passing yards against the Giants last weekend.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks, including Bovada, had set the New Orleans Saints as -3.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 52.5 earlier in the week (check for the current over-under lines at BetOnline).

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 25-23 result in favor of the Saints. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Atlanta Falcons will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Monday, as they are 1-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the New Orleans Saints are 1-1 ATS. Atlanta is 2-0 against the over under total, while New Orleans is 1-1 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New Orleans vs Atlanta injuries news.

The Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 21-rated Atlanta Falcons taking on the No. 26-rated New Orleans Saints in this betting contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits New Orleans's No. 14-ranked offense, averaging 23.5 PPG, against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 27 this week at 29.5 PPG. The Saints aerial game is averaging 333 yards per game, more than the Falcons secondary allows through the air, 290 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Atlanta Falcons own the league's No. 27-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 155 yards per game when on the road. New Orleans, on the other hand, rates No. 16 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out, Matt Ryan threw for 3 scores and 396 yards in leading his team past Oakland at Oakland Coliseum.

The Saints suffered a Week 2 loss against New York in their last game, falling 16-13 at MetLife Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Atlanta is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
  • Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games
  • Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • New Orleans is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
  • New Orleans is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home
  • New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Atlanta home to Carolina, Sunday, October 2nd
New Orleans at San Diego, Sunday, October 2nd