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Spiraling Dolphins Try To Snap Skid vs Atlanta

Tua Tagovailoa's Dolphis are underdogs in the Atlanta vs Miami odds for Week 7.

A tough season in Miami only got worse last week when the Dolphins (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) suffered a last-second loss to Jacksonville. The Fish return from London to host Atlanta (2-3, 2-3), which has won two of its last three games and is coming off a bye.

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins
  • Date/Time: October 24, 1 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
  • TV Coverage: Fox
  • Opening Odds: Dolphins -3 | O/U 48 (Line History)
  • Falcons vs Dolphins Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

With Miami coming off a game in England and on a five-game losing streak, bettors weren’t at all interested in backing them as a favorite. In fact, Atlanta had moved to 2.5-point chalk by the time of writing Monday night.

Atlanta News & Notes

The Falcons are coming out of their bye week with plenty of optimism after winning two of their previous three games, most recently a 27-20 win over the Jets in England. Quarterback Matt Ryan has thrown eight touchdowns without an interception in those three games, showing signs of getting comfortable in the offensive scheme of new head coach Arthur Smith.

The week off may have also bought time for the Falcons to get two of their top offensive weapons back into the lineup. Leading receiver Calvin Ridley returned to practice Monday after missing the game against New York due to personal reasons, while fellow wideout Russell Gage might be able to return from an ankle injury that has forced him to miss the team’s last three games.

Anyone who owns Kyle Pitts in fantasy might not want to see Ridley and Gage return to the lineup. The prized rookie tight end recorded his first career 100-yard game in their absence against the Jets, finishing with nine catches for 119 yards and his first pro touchdown.

Miami News & Notes

The Dolphins are reeling right now, getting outscored by nearly 16 points per game during a five-game losing streak. To make matters worse, they don’t have as much time to fix things as they normally might after having to fly back from London, where they were beaten last week by a Jaguars team that had lost its previous 20 games.

Miami blew an early 13-3 advantage in that contest, marking the second time this season the Fish have seen a double-digit lead turn into a loss. Jacksonville took advantage of Miami’s banged-up secondary, gaining 312 of its 396 total yards through the air, and Atlanta might be able to do the same if cornerbacks Byron Jones and Xavien Howard aren’t able to return from injury this week.

On the bright side for Miami, sophomore quarterback Tua Tagovailoa enjoyed his best game of the young season against the Jaguars, completing 33 of 47 passes for 329 yards, two touchdowns and an interception.

“I think we’re very close as a team to getting where we want to be,” Tagovailoa told the Associated Press after returning from a rib injury that sidelined him in Week 2.

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How Atlanta Will Cover

The Falcons have had two weeks to prepare for this game and get more familiar with their new offense, while Miami doesn’t have much time to lick its wounds coming off an ugly loss in London. That disparity in these teams’ recent schedules could easily lead to an Atlanta blowout.

How Miami Will Cover

Not much has gone right this year for the Dolphins, but it’s easy to forget that they were nearly a playoff team last year. If Miami can find a way to finally play up to its potential, the Fish are more than capable of pulling off the upset and improving to 10-3 ATS in their last 13 at home.

Computer Pick: Miami +2.5

For more NFL Week 7 predictions, head on over to our NFL Computer Picks page.

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Shark Bites
  • Atlanta is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
  • Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
  • Atlanta is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games vs Miami.