NFL

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta
Falcons
8 - 5
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
4 - 9
December 18, 2017, 8:30 PM EST
 | Raymond James Stadium

Game Preview

Atlanta
Falcons
8 - 5
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
4 - 9
December 18, 2017, 8:30 PM EST
 | Raymond James Stadium
  • The Week 15 edition of Monday Night Football is virtually a must-win game for the Atlanta Falcons, but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers would love nothing more than to spoil the party for their division rivals.

    Sportsbook opened the Falcons as 6-point road favorites with a total of 48.5.

    Shark Bites
    • The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Falcons’ last 14 games after a win.
    • The Buccaneers are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a loss.
    • The favored team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine games in this matchup.

    The Falcons, who are coming off a big 20-17 win over the New Orleans Saints in Thursday Night Football last week, have matchups with Carolina and the Saints after this one, so this game is by far the easiest contest left on the schedule. If Atlanta can get past Tampa Bay, Matt Ryan needs to step up. The signal-caller threw three interceptions vs the Saints and finished the game with a league-low quarterback rating of 55.2.

    At this point, the Falcons could either make an appearance in the postseason or miss out on the playoffs entirely. The good news for Falcons bettors is their penchant for producing at night. In the Falcons’ last 12 prime-time contests, they’re 10-2 ATS.

    Tampa Bay has dropped three straight heading into this game and has been a major disappointment after the 2016 edition of the team won nine games and looked to be on the upswing. Jameis Winston hasn’t taken the leap into the upper echelon of NFL quarterbacks, and turnovers are the major reason why. In 42 career games, the Florida State product has turned the ball over 53 times – the second-most in the league since his 2015 rookie year.

    OVER bettors love seeing these teams collide, and for good reason. In the previous three meetings between the NFC South foes, the OVER is 3-0.

    Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

    The Atlanta Falcons opened as 4.5-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including Sportsbook), while the total was hovering around 47.5 at most shops.

    Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas picked a 26-21 win for the Falcons. Injuries during the week may cause the formula to be re-run, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

    Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matchup

    Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

    The Tampa Bay Buccaneers currently sport a record of 4-9, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 3-9-1 ATS. The Atlanta Falcons are 8-5 and 6-7 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Buccaneers post a 7-6 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Falcons have gone 5-8 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Atlanta injuries news.

    According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 23-rated Buccaneers and the No. 10-rated Falcons in this matchup.

    Statistical Matchup

    Offensively, the game matches up the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' No. 23-ranked offense (20.27 PPG) against a Atlanta Falcons defense that ranks No. 13 at 20.91 PPG. The Buccaneers passing attack has averaged 264.64 yards per game, more than the Falcons give up through the air (207.91 YPG on average).

    Defensively, the Falcons feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 123 yards per game. The Buccaneers, meanwhile, rank No. 20 in rushing offense at home.

    Recent Outings Betting Recap

    In their last game, the Falcons were Week 14 Sportsbooks, coming out on top of the Saints by a score of 20-17.

    The Buccaneers' last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Jameis Winston, but they were handed a 24-21 loss by Detroit at Raymond James Stadium.

    Betting Trends
    • Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    • Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
    • Atlanta is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    • Tampa Bay is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games
    • Tampa Bay is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
    • Tampa Bay is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta
    • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Atlanta

    Next Betting Matchups

    Atlanta at New Orleans, Sunday, December 24
    Tampa Bay at Carolina, Sunday, December 24

Odds

Monday, December 18 Mon Dec 18


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-4.5
-110
-208
o47.5
-110
+4.5
-110
+175
u47.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-7
-110
-330
o49.5
-115
+7
-110
+275
u49.5
-105

Edge Finder

21.47
Total Score
18.17
158.76
Passing Yards
273.33
159.88
Rushing Yards
75.56
30:02
Time on Field
29:25
59.47
Number of Plays
68.83
5.36
Yards Per Play
5.07
21.47
Total Score
18.17
3.94
First Quarter
2.83
6.29
Second Quarter
5.33
5.18
Third Quarter
2.83
5.88
Fourth Quarter
7.00
158.76
Passing Yards
273.33
24.41
Pass Attempts
45.39
15.12
Pass Completions
29.67
2.18
Sacks
1.33
13.41
Sack Yards
9.83
10.50
Yards Per Pass
9.21
159.88
Rushing Yards
75.56
32.88
Rush Attempts
22.11
4.86
Yards Per Rush
3.42
0.53
Interceptions
0.61
1.24
Fumbles
1.06
0.71
Fumbles Lost
0.67
1.24
Total Turnovers
1.28
4.00
Penalties
5.67
34.94
Penalty Yards
45.94
30:02
Time on Field
29:25
59.47
Number of Plays
68.83
5.36
Yards Per Play
5.07
3.65
Punts
4.67
45.88
Punt Average
48.86
61.76
Return Yards
67.67

Head To Head

ATL
Stat Type TB
5-5
Record
5-5
5-5
ATS
5-5
6-4
O/U
6-4
29.90
Score
24.20
99.00
Rush Yds
113.70
37.10
Pass Attempts
36.40
70.62
Completion %
63.46
297.50
Passing Yds
238.40
396.5
Total Yds
352.1
1.50
Turnovers
1.50
ATL
Stat Type TB
2-1
Record
1-2
2-1
ATS
1-2
3-0
O/U
3-0
33.67
Score
26.33
112.00
Rush Yds
85.67
36.33
Pass Attempts
41.67
72.48
Completion %
66.40
338.33
Passing Yds
294.33
450.33
Total Yds
380
0.67
Turnovers
1.00
Nov 26/17 (1 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
34
Score
20
-10
ATS
+10
47 o
O/U
47 u
148
Rush Yds
94
36
Pass Attempts
44
75.00
Completion %
61.36
368
Passing Yds
279
516
Total Yds
373
1
Turnovers
0
Nov 3/16 (2 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
43
Score
28
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
49 o
O/U
49 u
136
Rush Yds
73
34
Pass Attempts
48
73.53
Completion %
68.75
325
Passing Yds
323
461
Total Yds
396
1
Turnovers
2
Sep 11/16 (3 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
24
Score
31
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
47 o
O/U
47 u
52
Rush Yds
90
39
Pass Attempts
33
69.23
Completion %
69.70
322
Passing Yds
281
374
Total Yds
371
0
Turnovers
1
Dec 6/15 (4 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
19
Score
23
+1
ATS
-1
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
64
Rush Yds
166
45
Pass Attempts
27
66.67
Completion %
66.67
255
Passing Yds
222
319
Total Yds
388
1
Turnovers
2
Nov 1/15 (5 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
20
Score
23
-8
ATS
+8
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
101
Rush Yds
117
45
Pass Attempts
29
82.22
Completion %
55.17
395
Passing Yds
173
496
Total Yds
290
4
Turnovers
0
Nov 9/14 (6 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
27
Score
17
-3
ATS
+3
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
110
Rush Yds
92
31
Pass Attempts
43
64.52
Completion %
62.79
212
Passing Yds
281
322
Total Yds
373
0
Turnovers
3
Sep 18/14 (7 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
56
Score
14
-6.5
ATS
+6.5
47 o
O/U
47 u
144
Rush Yds
64
28
Pass Attempts
36
85.71
Completion %
61.11
344
Passing Yds
153
488
Total Yds
217
4
Turnovers
5
Nov 17/13 (8 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
28
Score
41
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
44 o
O/U
44 u
152
Rush Yds
186
43
Pass Attempts
25
55.81
Completion %
80.00
268
Passing Yds
224
420
Total Yds
410
3
Turnovers
0
Oct 20/13 (9 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
31
Score
23
-6
ATS
+6
43 o
O/U
43 u
18
Rush Yds
111
26
Pass Attempts
44
76.92
Completion %
59.09
273
Passing Yds
226
291
Total Yds
337
1
Turnovers
1
Dec 30/12 (10 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
17
Score
22
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
46 o
O/U
46 u
65
Rush Yds
144
44
Pass Attempts
35
63.64
Completion %
54.29
213
Passing Yds
222
278
Total Yds
366
0
Turnovers
1

Team Records

ATL
Record TB
8-5
All
4-9
4-3
Home
3-3
4-2
Away
1-6
6-7
ATS
3-9-1
4-3
ATS Home
2-4
2-4
ATS Away
1-5-1
5-8
O/U
7-6
2-5
O/U Home
1-5
3-3
O/U Away
6-1
ATL
Record TB
7-2
All
2-7
4-1
Home
2-2
3-1
Away
0-5
6-3
ATS
1-8
4-1
ATS Home
1-3
2-2
ATS Away
0-5
4-5
O/U
5-4
2-3
O/U Home
1-3
2-2
O/U Away
4-1
ATL
Record TB
2-1
All
0-3
2-0
Home
0-1
0-1
Away
0-2
2-1
ATS
0-3
2-0
ATS Home
0-1
0-1
ATS Away
0-2
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
ATL
Record TB
5-5
All
2-8
3-3
Home
1-3
2-2
Away
1-5
4-6
ATS
2-7-1
3-3
ATS Home
1-3
1-3
ATS Away
1-4-1
3-7
O/U
5-5
1-5
O/U Home
0-4
2-2
O/U Away
5-1

Gametime Weather

Weather
8:00 pm EST Clear
22ºC / 71ºF
87% Humidity
6% Precipitation
28% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 2
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Grady JarrettDTIR; is out for season, ACL
Mack HollinsWRIs "?" Sunday vs Tampa Bay, Ankle
Mike HughesCBIs "?" Sunday vs Tampa Bay, Hand
Kaleb McGaryTLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs Tampa Bay, Knee
A.J. TerrellCBLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs Tampa Bay, Concussion
Josh AliWRIR, Ankle
Name Position Inj Desc
Lavonte DavidLBIs "?" Sunday vs Atlanta, Groin
Ryan JensenCIs out indefinitely, Knee
Russell GageWRIs out for season, Knee
Devin WhiteLBIs "?" Sunday vs Atlanta, Foot
Jamel DeanCBIs "?" Sunday vs Atlanta, Foot
K.J. BrittLBLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs Atlanta, Back
Mike GreeneDTIs "?" Sunday vs Atlanta, Calf
SirVocea DennisLBIs "?" Sunday vs Atlanta, Illness

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 7, 2017NO20-17W-2.5/51.5W/U132211343502563062
Dec 3, 2017MIN9-14L-2/48.5L/U1021732751052073120
Nov 26, 2017TB34-20W-10/47W/O148368516942793731
Nov 20, 2017SEA34-31WEv/46W/O89190279136224360-1
Nov 12, 2017DAL27-7W-3.5/49W/U132204336107126233-1
Nov 5, 2017CAR17-20L-3/42L/U53302355201129330-1
Oct 29, 2017NYJ25-20W-6.5/43L/O140246386432362791
Oct 22, 2017NE7-23L+2.5/55.5L/U1202233431622414030
Oct 15, 2017MIA17-20L-14/45.5L/U1002393391381512890
Oct 1, 2017BUF17-23L-8/47.5L/U1492423911171642813
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 10, 2017DET21-24LEv/47.5L/U133267400533814342
Dec 3, 2017GB20-26L+3/45.5L/O165230395199772760
Nov 26, 2017ATL20-34L+10/47L/O94279373148368516-1
Nov 19, 2017MIA30-20W-1/44W/O5326832183365448-5
Nov 12, 2017NYJ15-10W-1/44W/U9018127156219275-1
Nov 5, 2017NO10-30L+7/54L/U87113200151256407-1
Oct 29, 2017CAR3-17L-1.5/46L/U851942791001542542
Oct 22, 2017BUF27-30L+3/46.5P/O693784471732614342
Oct 15, 2017ARI33-38L-2.5/47L/O683464141602724320
Oct 5, 2017NE14-19L+3.5/54.5L/U90319409113289402-2
View Game Logs
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