NFL Award Odds & Predictions: Hurts Clear MVP Favorite

2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Odds

When healthy, there is no more dynamic player in the NFL than Christian McCaffrey. The 49ers running back is a multi-purpose weapon who can rack up yards and touchdowns in every facet of the game. But, he's somehow only finished top-five in OPoY voting once in his career.

With a hot start to his 2023 season, it looks like this could finally be the year McCaffrey gets it done. So far, CMC has managed to slide by without any significant injuries this season and if he can stay healthy for all 17 San Francisco contests, this is his award to win. That's a big if, though.

Best Bet: CMC (+105)

Last 10 Offensive Player of the Year Winners 

These players are prime examples of what makes an OPOY candidate—elite playmakers at their individual positions who almost single-handedly created a chance for their team to win week in and week out.

Before Michael Thomas, the last wide receiver to earn OPOY was Jerry Rice, who won the honor 26 years ago in 1993. As if making up for lost time, we then saw two more WRs take home the award in the past three years. There’s a trend here that might indicate the league is warming to the concept of stellar receivers earning their dues.

Players that have won multiple Offensive Player of the Year awards

*Franchises that have since relocated

Esteemed company, to say the least, these players are the only OPOYs to have been awarded twice or more. Faulk and Davis are the only members of this list who helped their team bring home a Super Bowl in the same year as their award, 2000 and 1998, respectively.

NFL Franchises with the Most Offensive Player of the Year awards

Nine NFL teams have never had an OPOY award winner - the Arizona Cardinals, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Schools that produced the most Offensive Player of the Year Winners

Every college football program has its own strengths; these schools have proven their ability to create a strong foundation for their offensive weapons, with multiple players going on to win NFL OPOY.

No surprise to see the historical dominance of the SEC here, followed by three from the Big 12. These conferences have proven to be a breeding ground for NFL superstars for generations.

Notably, Marshall Faulk and Earl Campbell do a decent bit of heavy lifting for San Diego St. and Texas, respectively, both contributing three titles each.

Offensive Player of the Year Betting Trends and Notes

If there’s just one trend to be noted for the Offensive Player of the Year award, it’s that the time for wide receivers is now. There’s been a tremendous jump in expectations of a WR winning the award, and judging by the 2023 odds, that trend will only continue.

Of course, there are other similarities between the best players in the league from year to year. Whether it be a league-leading stat in a given category or the quality of team they belong to, here are a few important snippets that will factor into the OPOY winner.

2023 NFL Defensive Player Of The Year Odds

Maxx Crosby has been quietly one of the most reliable edge weapons in the league over the last few years. In 2022, he finished sixth in this DPoY award voting while racking up 12.5 sacks and a league-leading 22 tackles for loss.

Even though Crosby's Raiders are having a tough time this season, the Las Vegas pass rusher is on pace to easily surpass his sack total from a year ago. If he can continue this pace and break 15 sacks, Crosby can be a real DPoY contender. He'll have to jump some big names on this odds board, but the sack total will keep him in the mix.

Best Bet: Maxx Crosby (+2500)

Last 10 Defensive Player of the Year Winners 

*now the Las Vegas Raiders.

Our previous 10 DPOY winners have a few familiar faces… Donald and T.J. Watt make up 50% of this list! With Watt’s retirement in 2022, Donald can cement himself in legend as the first player to win the award four times.

These two players emphasize what goes into the award’s decision – an ongoing effort to be the best at their position and single-handedly derail games with a timely sack or stripped ball.

The AFC and NFC both contribute five players to this list, an even split of defensive excellence across the league.
 

Players that have won multiple Defensive Player of the Year awards

Where only two running backs have won 3 awards for Offensive Player of the Year, the DPOY award boasts three stalwart defenders in Donald, Watt, and Taylor. All three of these players earned the award in back-to-back seasons.

For all their accolades, none of these players brought their team to a Super Bowl in the same year they won DPOY.
 

NFL Teams with the Most Defensive Player of the Year awards

The Steelers don’t even make this close - their long-standing reputation as defensive juggernauts is well-earned, doubling the Ravens and Giants’ collection of DPOY award winners.

As of now, the Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, New York Jets, Tennessee Titans and Washington Commanders remain without a single honouree for this award.
 

Schools that produced the most Defensive Player of the Year Winners

In the high-scoring environment of NCAA Football, colleges cherish their defensive playmakers. These schools helped multiple future NFL DPOY winners hone their skills and head into the league with the skill and confidence to shut down an offence.

Regarding conferences, the ACC boasts the most DPOY winners at 15, while the SEC trails behind with 4. Next time you want to wager on a futures bet, pay attention to the alma mater – the historical trend looks appealing here.

Defensive Player of the Year Betting Trends and Notes

Over time, we’ve begun to identify a few similarities between DPOY winners. These findings can help you analyze the current odds and predict next year’s winner. Although there isn’t an exact formula for what constitutes an award-winning season, here are a few helpful tidbits and fun facts to help you make a bet.

2023 NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds

It's really hard to pick anyone but Damar Hamlin here. The Bills' defensive back simply returning to the field is an incredible accomplishment. But, from a purely betting perspective, these odds just don't make much sense to back, given Hamlin's lack of real playing time.

If you're looking for some value, Tagovailoa has come back healthy in a big way this season, pushing for the MVP and hurling the Dolphins into Super Bowl contention.

Best Bet: Tua Tagovailoa (+200)

Last 10 Comeback Player of the Year Winners 

* now Los Angeles Chargers

The previous ten winners showcase athletes who have battled adversity and fought to exceed expectations of their performance. Whether that was overcoming a severe injury or rejuvenating their career, the formula for CPOY winners changes year over year.

Quarterbacks are generally the favorite candidates for this honor. Thanks to their direct role in shaping a team’s season, underdogs like 2022 winner Geno Smith receive high-profile praise for his surprising regular-season performance leading the Seattle Seahawks to the postseason.
 

NFL Teams with the Most Comeback Player of the Year Winners

As a relatively newer award, the opportunity for NFL squads to have multiple Comeback winners has been slim, but that hasn’t stopped players on the above teams from displaying resilience and inspiring storylines.

12 out of the 32 teams in the league have never had a player win a Comeback Player of the Year award: the Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Chicago Bears, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Rams, Minnesota Vikings, New York Giants, Las Vegas Raiders and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Comeback Player of the Year Betting Trends and Notes

Finding exact trends for the Comeback Player of the Year can be tricky – it’s a far different category than any other NFL honor, but that doesn’t mean there’s not still an edge to be found.

Keep an ear to the ground for developing storylines, overperforming players, and the overarching media sentiment of a player’s season. Check out these historical trends to begin researching who’s most likely to have an award-winning comeback season.

2023 NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds

I was all in on Falcons RB Bijan Robinson, but it's impossible to deny CJ Stroud right now.

The Texans quarterback is making rookie history, passing for 17 touchdowns to just five interception in his first 10 games. With one of the lowest turnover rates in football and the most passing yards per contest, Stroud is in discussion among the best QBs in football this year, not just rookies.

He's running away with the OROY Award at this point, and there's no use betting on anyone else.

Best Bet: CJ Stroud (-5000)

Last 10 Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners 

*now the Los Angeles Rams.

It’s always fun to look back on rookie honors. With hindsight, we know these athletes are still some of the best players in their given positions.

The variety of each winner’s role helps us understand that OROY is less constricted to year-over-year trends, with no specialization winning the award more than two years in a row – futures for this award remain anyone's game.

Interestingly, the NFC is a favorite destination of talented offensive players, contributing 7 of the last ten winners.

NFL Teams with the Most Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners

With a stellar collection of rookie talent, the Vikings lead all teams in OROY awards. The competition is tight, though – with recent victories for the Rams and Cowboys pushing them into a tie for second, the development of rookies within these organizations is worth watching.

Whether it be a lack of offensive talent out of the draft or due to their particular systems, the Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks have never seen an OROY awarded for their squad.

Schools that produced the most Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners

The NCAA is well known for exciting offensive performances, and the spotlight for OROY candidates usually shines brightest on those who demonstrated elite skill in college ball. These schools have been some of the best at producing the brightest young offenses in the game.

By conference, the SEC and ACC are tied at 11 future OROYs each, thanks to Miami’s staggering five honourees. Oklahoma and the rest of the Big 12 are nothing to sniff at either, coming in second with seven total winners.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Betting Trends and Notes

Over time, we’ve identified some similarities between OROY winners. These findings can help you analyze the current odds and predict next year’s winner. Although there isn’t an exact formula for what constitutes an award-winning season, here are a few helpful tidbits and fun facts to help you make a bet.

2023 NFL Defensive Rookie Of The Year Odds

I was all over Patriots DB Christian Gonzalez as a DRotY value pick. But, with Gonzalzez's season-ending injury, I don't think we can bet on anyone but Jalen Carter at this point.

He may be the heavy favorite, but rightfully so. In his first nine NFL games, Carter racked up 4.0 sacks, 11 solo tackles, and two forced fumbles.

While Carter has slowed down a bit in recent games, he's been the same disruptive force in the middle of a defensive line he was with Georgia. That talent has translated right to the NFL level, and it should win him some hardware this year.

Best Bet: Jalen Carter (-175)

Last 10 Defensive Rookie of the Year Winners

*now the Washington Commanders, Los Angeles Charges and St. Louis Rams, respectively.

You’ll probably recognize every name on this list - they’re still making problems for offenses across the league. These players joined their squad’s defense and immediately gave it a level up, contributing monstrous sacks, stunning interceptions, and shutdown coverage across the field.

Aaron Donald and Nick Bosa went on to win Defensive Player of the Year only a few years after receiving this honor, and our friends at the top of the list don’t seem a long way off from repeating the same feat.

In terms of conferences, the AFC and NFC contribute five players each to the DROY list.

NFL Teams with the Most Defensive Rookie of the Year Winners

The Jets’ defense has always seemed to be a bright spot for them, and judging by their track record within the award, that’ll only continue.

The six teams who haven’t had a DROY on their roster is the smallest group of non-winners out of every NFL honor – the Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings, Philadelphia Eagles, Seattle Seahawks, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers represent 18.75% of the NFL that is still searching for a defensive rookie award.

Schools that produced the most Defensive Rookie of the Year Winners

For young defenders heading into the NFL, it’s trial by fire. It only becomes more challenging to stand out when you start considering league veterans' size, speed, and skill differences. 

That’s what makes these colleges so unique –  their ability to prep their defense with the confidence and playmaking ability to succeed at the next level.

Conference by conference, the SEC leads the charge with eight future award winners, divided between four schools. The PAC 12 follows with 7, and the Big 10 with 6.

Defensive Rookie of the Year Betting Trends and Notes

Over time, we’ve identified a few similarities between DROY winners. These findings can help you analyze the current odds and predict next year’s winner. Although there isn’t an exact formula for what constitutes an award-winning season, here are a few helpful tidbits and fun facts to help you make a bet.