2023 NFL MVP Odds
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Tua Tagovailoa | +325 |
Patrick Mahomes | +400 |
Josh Allen | +800 |
Jalen Hurts | +1100 |
Justin Herbert | +1200 |
Brock Purdy | +1200 |
Lamar Jackson | +1400 |
Tyreek Hill | +2000 |
Dak Prescott | +2500 |
Joe Burrow | +2500 |
Tua and Mahomes are putting up mega seasons so far this year, but their MVP lines just don't provide that much value. So, let's look down the board.
In the first few weeks of 2023, we've seen flashes of MVP Lamar Jackson. With new offensive weapons in Zay Flowers and Odell Beckham Jr., Jackson is rocking career-high completion percentage, throwing for over 200 yards per game, and still doing it with his legs. If we get a full season of healthy Jackson, he's got as good of an MVP case as anyone.
Best Bet: Lamar Jackson (+1400)
Year | Player |
---|---|
2022 | QB Patrick Mahomes (KC) |
2021 | QB Aaron Rodgers (GB) |
2020 | QB Aaron Rodgers (GB) |
2019 | QB Lamar Jackson (BAL) |
2018 | QB Patrick Mahomes (KC) |
2017 | QB Tom Brady (NE) |
2016 | QB Matt Ryan (ATL) |
2015 | QB Cam Newton (CAR) |
2014 | QB Aaron Rodgers (GB) |
2013 | QB Peyton Manning (DEN) |
Right away, we can spot a few regular customers on the MVP podium. Aaron Rodgers has won the hardware three times in the last 10 years, and Patrick Mahomes is on pace for the same accolades, winning twice in the past five.
Notably, Mahomes successfully shattered the "MVP Curse" – before Kansas City’s 2022 victory, zero NFL MVPs had come from Super Bowl-winning teams over the last 10 years.
Over the past 10 years, the NFC and AFC conferences have split five of the last 10 MVP winners each.
NFL Teams with the Most NFL MVP Awards
Whether they’re aided by a star player or an excellent few years for the program, certain NFL squads have attracted more MVP-quality players than the rest.
Team | NFL MVP | Last NFL MVP Winners |
---|---|---|
Green Bay Packers | 10 | Aaron Rodgers (2021) |
Indianapolis Colts | 9 | Peyton Manning (2009) |
New England Patriots | 5 | Tom Brady (2017) |
San Francisco 49ers | 5 | Steve Young (1994) |
Buffalo Bills | 4 | Thurman Thomas (1991) |
Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | Rich Gannon (2002) |
Cleveland Browns | 4 | Brian Sipe (1980) |
Los Angeles Rams | 4 | Marshall Faulk (2000) |
Minnesota Vikings | 3 | Adrian Peterson (2012) |
Denver Broncos | 3 | Peyton Manning (2013) |
Tennessee Titans | 3 | Steve McNair (2003) |
Washington Commanders | 3 | Joe Theismann (1983) |
Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | Patrick Mahomes (2022) |
Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | Boomer Esiason (1988) |
New York Jets | 2 | Joe Namath (1969) |
Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | LaDanian Tomlinson (2006) |
New York Giants | 2 | Lawrence Taylor (1986) |
Baltimore Ravens | 1 | Lamar Jackson (2019) |
Carolina Panthers | 1 | Cam Newton (2015) |
Seattle Seahawks | 1 | Shaun Alexander (2005) |
Chicago Bears | 1 | Walter Payton (1977) |
Detroit Lions | 1 | Barry Sanders (1997) |
There are only six franchises missing from this list – the Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Arizona Cardinals, Philadelphia Eagles, New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have never produced an NFL MVP.
Schools that produced the most NFL MVP winners
Certain football schools around the US have cultivated a reputation for churning out NFL stars—or just being blessed with the likes of Manning, Brady, and Rodgers. These are the schools that have had the most MVP alumni throughout the history of the award.
Team | Conference | Number of NFL MVPS | List of NFL MVP Winners |
---|---|---|---|
Notre Dame | Independent | 5 | Joe Montana (x2), Alan Page, Joe Theismann, Paul Hornung |
Alabama | SEC | 5 | Joe Namath (x2), Ken Stabler, Shaun Alexander, Bart Starr |
Tennessee | SEC | 5 | Peyton Manning (x5) |
California | Pac 12 | 4 | Aaron Rodgers |
Louisville | ACC | 4 | Johnny Unitas (x3), Lamar Jackson |
Syracuse | ACC | 4 | Jim Brown (x3), Jim Nance |
LSU | SEC | 3 | Bert Jones, Jim Taylor, Y.A. Tittle |
USM | SBC | 3 | Brett Favre (x3) |
Michigan | Big 10 | 3 | Tom Brady (x3) |
NFL MVP Odds Betting Trends and Notes
Over time, we’ve begun to identify a few similarities between NFL MVP winners. These findings can help you analyze the current odds and predict next year’s winner. Although there isn’t an exact formula for what constitutes an MVP season, here are a few helpful tidbits and fun facts to help you make a futures bet.
- The past 10 MVPs have all been quarterbacks, and each won their respective division.
- Out of these 10 QBs, 7/10 of them finished on a team with the highest winning percentage in the league: Rodgers and Mahomes finished T2 in 2020 and 2018, respectively, and Matt Ryan’s Falcons ended T4 in 2016.
- Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won MVP, with all three being running backs.
- Only Lamar Jackson (2019) and Tom Brady (2017) have received unanimous MVP votes.
- 9/10 of the last NFL MVPs were selected in the first round of the draft; Tom Brady is the outlier, being selected 199th overall in the sixth.
- When the Kansas City Chiefs won in 2022, Mahomes became the 7th player to win both the Super Bowl MVP and NFL MVP in the same season.
- In the strike-shortened 1982 season, kicker Mark Moseley won the NFL MVP award.
- Only three non-offensive players have won NFL MVP, the aforementioned Moseley, Alan Page, and Lawrence Taylor.
What are NFL Player Awards?
The NFL Player Awards are a series of accomplishments given to the top-performing athletes across various individual categories. Most awards are selected by a panel of 50 sportswriters under the Associated Press, a collection of voters who follow the NFL and its athletes year-round.
When are the NFL Awards handed out?
The NFL award ceremony takes place just a few days before the Super Bowl. Held as part of NFL Honors at a private venue, the presentation is attended by players, league officials, and the press.
Since 2021, the ceremony has been streamed live, moving away from a pre-recorded format. The presentation is hosted by a celebrity host, with the likes of Alec Baldwin, Kelly Clarkson, Steve Harvey, and Seth Meyers leading the event.
How to read NFL Player Awards Futures
Futures are a type of bet that is focused on the long-term outcome of a given result. In this case, NFL Player Awards futures are how a bettor selects who they think will take home a given award.
The name at the top of the list is the betting favorite and generating a ton of buzz around the league, whether that’s because of their previous season’s performance, how they fared in college (for the rookies), or their ongoing efforts to dominate the competition. These are the ‘safest’ options, but they offer the least number of multipliers on your bet.
The odds on these lists will constantly shift during the season, with a performance in a single game being the potential catalyst for change. In some instances, one good or bad game (especially in primetime) can make all the difference.
Keep up to date with NFL news and developing storylines throughout the season to review and bet on your favorite option for each individual award. Lines change all the time, and there are never any guarantees on who can take home a piece of silverware.