Chicago will try to buck a major NFL playoff trend that has seen double-digit underdogs win outright.
In the past five playoff games involving an underdog of 10 or more points, that dog has won the game outright four times! And Seattle was the last to pull the trick, last week at home against New Orleans.
ADVERTISEMENT: The best Bears line as of Saturday night was at Sportsbook at -10, +110 while the best Seattle line was at Sportsbook at +10, -108. Check out the matchup stats for the latest odds.
The Bears currently sport a record of 11-5, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 9-6-1 ATS. The Seahawks are 7-9 and 7-9 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Bears post a 7-9 over under record this season, while the Seahawks have gone 11-4-1 against the number.
Bears Seahawks Betting Line: Chicago opened as 9.5-point favorites on the Bears Seahawks odds menu, while the NFL total was set at 40 for over under betting. The game was bet up past -10, giving the Seahawks the opportunity to become the only team in three decades to win back-to-back games as big underdogs.
Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 16 (Bears) and the No. 31 (Seahawks) -ranked teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 24-15 result in favor of the Bears is predicted by handicapping models.
Last time out for Seattle, they were a 41-36 Sportsbook as they battled the Saints at home. The Seahawks covered in the match as a 10-point underdog, while 77 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
In their last action, Chicago was a 10-3 loser on the road against the Packers. They covered the 11.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (13) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Bears were Week 17 losers coming out on the wrong end of 10-3 score against Green Bay.
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How They Matchup: Offensively, the game matches up Chicago's #21-ranked offense (20.9 PPG) against a Seahawks defense that ranks #25 at 25.4 PPG. The Bears passing attack has averaged 188.4 yards per game, less than the Seahawks give up through the air (249.6 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Seahawks feature the league's #16-rated road run defense, allowing 113.6 yards per game. Chicago, meanwhile, ranks #27 in rushing offense at home.
Seattle Seahawks Trends:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6
Chicago Bears Trends:
When playing in January are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Seahawks at Bears betting trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Chicago is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home