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Betting Outlook for Old Faces in New Places

The 2017 NFL trade deadline could have been compared to the New York Stock Exchange. GMs and owners were throwing around high-end players like they were assets and aspiring teams looking for Super Bowl glory were trying to load up for a title run.

Two skill players who ended up in new uniforms were new Eagles running back Jay Ajayi and incoming Bills receiver Kelvin Benjamin. Both were considered disappointments this season in fantasy and by Dolphins and Panthers fan clubs, and were shipped out for negligible draft picks. Why these teams with winning records would trade their stars is beyond me. But what I do know is how they’ll potentially perform in Week 9.

The O/U for Jay Ajayi’s rushing yards against the Denver Broncos is 47.5 yards. The UNDER is the obvious choice and here’s why. The Broncos rushing defense is still legit. They’ve been stellar through eight games, only allowing 72 yards per game, good for second in the league. Interesting fact: The Broncos have only allowed one 100-yard rusher all year and if you can guess it, you deserve the highest praise (spoiler alert, it was the Giants’ Orleans Darkwa). As Ajayi is coming in late to the party for the Eagles and LeGarrette Blount is still manning the starting spot, bettors should focus on the UNDER, which opened at -120 on Bovada.

Kelvin Benjamin’s O/U for receiving yards opened at 57.5 and I would consider the OVER for Week 9. Joining a Buffalo Bills team starving for wide receiver help, Benjamin’s six-foot-five frame is exactly what they need for a downfield threat. Buffalo is in New York to play the Jets and their 20th-ranked pass defense in Week 9. The Jets are also a team that let Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor dice them up in Week 1 for 250 passing yards with little receiver help. Another stat of note is Benjamin’s performance this season. He averages just under 15 yards per catch and has exceeded 57.5 yards in five of nine games this season. It may be a roll of the dice but at EVEN odds on Bovada, I like Benjamin’s chances of getting some deep routes in, even if it’s in garbage time.

Jay Ajayi - Total Rushing Yards Week 9
  • Over 47.5 -120
  • Under 47.5 -120
Kelvin Benjamin - Total Receiving Yards Week 9
  • Over 57.5 EVEN
  • Under 57.5 -140

Odds as of November 1 at Bovada