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Bills battle Bengals in Week 6 odds

Cincinnati BengalsBuffalo Bills
3-2October 13, 2013, 01:00 | Ralph Wilson Stadium2-3


The Cincinnati Bengals are riding one of those emotional roller-coasters and bettors are nervous as they head to Buffalo as big road chalk.

Three weeks ago they rallied to upset Green Bay; then they laid an egg in Cleveland; then Sunday they bounced back to beat the undefeated Patriots.

This Sunday 3-2 Cincy will try to avoid a letdown when it visits Buffalo to take on a 2-3 Bills team that's likely to start former Duke Blue Devil Thaddeus Lewis at quarterback in place of the injured EJ Manuel.(1 pm ET, CBS). The Bengals have been big road chalk like this only eight times since 1980 and only covered one spread (1-5-2 ATS). They have also lost 10 of 11 against the Bills (2-9 ATS) and have lost six straight trips to Buffalo.

In the early betting the Bengals, 3-1-1 ATS on the season, were favored by 7.5 points over the Bills, but that number was quickly bumped to -9 at many NFL betting outlets.

View Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Odds and Stats.

Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Bengals listed as -3-point favorites but bet all the way to -9 by midweek at Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at 42 over at Sportsbook.ag.

The Bills sit at No. 25 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Bengals are at No. 8 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Bengals will win this game 21-16.

The Bengals were a 13-6 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Patriots. They covered the 1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (19) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their latest action on Thursday at $Stadum, Fred Jackson rumbled through the Cleveland defense for 2 TDs in a losing cause as Cleveland won 37-24.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Buffalo's No. 19-ranked offense (22.4 PPG) against a Bengals defense that ranks No. 7 at 17.4 PPG. The Bills passing attack has averaged 196 yards per game, less than the Bengals give up through the air (221.2 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Bengals feature the league's No. 29-rated road run defense, allowing 136.5 yards per game. Buffalo, meanwhile, ranks No. 4 in rushing offense at home.

A few Bengals at Bills trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Buffalo is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Cincinnati

Next up:
Cincinnati at Detroit, Sunday, October 20th
Buffalo at Miami, Sunday, October 20th