Miami remains one of three winless teams and comes home to face a beatable Denver Broncos squad who will embark on a Tim Tebow regime.
That regime could last a quarter, a game, or maybe a season or two, but the former Heisman Sportsbook returning to Florida will create a bit of a circus atmosphere. Miami just wants a win and did not play well in losing to the Jets on Monday night. [ Check out story on Tim Tebow prop bets this week ]
Denver is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 seasons after their bye week but Miami has dominated the Broncos lately, going 6-0 ATS since 2002 and 8-1 ATS since 1985.
The line opened with the Dolphins favored by 3 but it hasn't already been bet back to EVEN by Bronco backers.
View Denver vs Miami Odds and Stats.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 27-rated Dolphins and the No. 28-ranked Broncos, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark.
Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 15-12 result in favor of the Broncos, which would be way UNDER the total. The best UNDER line by mid-week was at 43 at Sportsbook.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 30-ranked offense, averaging 15 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 31 this week at 28 PPG. The Dolphins aerial game is averaging 228 yards per game, less than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 262.4 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 3-rated road run defense, allowing 74.5 yards per game. Miami, meanwhile, ranks No. 10 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Denver was a 29-24 loser at home against the Chargers. They failed to cover the 3.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (53) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their last game, Denver got a 125-yard performance from Willis McGahee, but San Diego prevailed 29-24.
Miami lost its last outing, a 24-6 result against the Jets on October 17. The Dolphins failed to cover in that game as a 7-point underdog, while the 30 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Miami lost its last outing 24-6 against New York on Monday, getting a 109-yard receiving performance from Brandon Marshall in a losing cause at MetLife Stadium.
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 3-7
Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 3-7
A few Broncos at Dolphins trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
Next up:
Denver home to Detroit, Sunday, October 30
Miami at NY Giants, Sunday, October 30
