San Diego has averaged 36 points in its past five trips to Denver, a fact that would imperil UNDER bettors seriously if it gets repeated in Week 5 NFL wagering action Sunday.
It's a pre-bye week game for both teams in this key AFC West clash. Of note, the Chargers' OVER is 11-1 in the past 12 years in pre-bye-week games.
San Diego is 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings with the Broncos.
View San Diego vs Denver Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The Chargers are listed as 6-point favorites at sportsbooks, with the total listed at 47.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 27 (Broncos) and the No. 15 (Chargers) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 24-16 result in favor of the Chargers is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Denver's No. 22-ranked offense (20.2 PPG) against a Chargers defense that ranks No. 10 at 21.2 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 224 yards per game, more than the Chargers give up through the air (196.2 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Chargers feature the league's No. 10-rated road run defense, allowing 94 yards per game. Denver, meanwhile, ranks No. 28 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for San Diego, they were a 26-16 Sportsbook as they battled the Dolphins at home. The Chargers covered in the match as a 6.5-point favorite, while 42 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, San Diego's aerial attack generated 307 yards and the Chargers came away with a 26-16 victory over Miami at Qualcomm Stadium.
The Broncos were a 49-23 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Packers. They failed to cover the 12–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (72) made Sportsbooks of OVER bettors. Denver comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Kyle Orton in a losing cause against the Packers, a 49-23 final.
San Diego Chargers Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the division are 2-8
A few Chargers at Broncos trends to consider:
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing San Diego
Next up:
San Diego at NY Jets, Sunday, October 23
Denver at Miami, Sunday, October 23
