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Browns open as underdog vs 49ers

There are very few sure things in NFL betting but one angle that appears in this game has been perfect 11 seasons in row.

When the San Francisco 49ers come out of a bye week, they play OVER. Maintaining that trend in 2011 could be challenging facing the sluggish Cleveland Browns, 6-3 winners against Seattle last week.

The Browns opened as double-digit favorites as they continue their surprising 5-1 start. If the trend holds up, the total will be the best bet. The best OVER line was at 5Dimes late Saturday, check the latest Sunday.

View Cleveland vs San Francisco Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 9.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark, while the total was hovering around 39.5 at most shops.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 5-rated 49ers and the No. 15-rated Browns in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 32-16 win for the 49ers on Sunday.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Francisco's No. 5-ranked offense (27.8 PPG) against a Browns defense that ranks No. 9 at 20 PPG. The 49ers passing attack has averaged 171 yards per game, less than the Browns give up through the air (172 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Browns feature the league's No. 20-rated road run defense, allowing 130 yards per game. San Francisco, meanwhile, ranks No. 12 in rushing offense at home.

The Browns were a 6-3 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Seahawks. They earned a push of the 3–point spread as favorites, while the total score (9) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Browns were Week 7 winners, coming out on top of the Seahawks by a score of 6-3.

The 49ers were a 25-19 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Lions. They covered the 5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (44) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, San Francisco got a 141-yard performance from Frank Gore as a key part of its 25-19 win over Detroit.

Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

San Francisco 49ers Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few Browns at 49ers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Cleveland is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Cleveland at Houston, Sunday, November 6
San Francisco at Washington, Sunday, November 6

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