The Cleveland Browns visit the Washington Commanders as +3.5 point underdogs Sunday in a game with a 44.5 point total. The Browns are 1-3, but could have won each of their last two games with a little luck.
The Commanders are 3-1 and riding the Jayden Daniels hype train. The rookie QB has completed 82.1% of passes for for 897 pass yards and 3 TD with 1 INT. He's also tallied 218 yards and 4 TD on the ground.
Keep reading to see my analysis on the Browns vs. Commanders game below and read how I'm approaching this game as a bettor.
Browns vs Commanders Odds Week 5
Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders, Oct. 6, 1 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns | +3.5 (-115) | +145 | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Washington Commanders | -3.5 (-105) | -175 | U 44.5 (-110) |
Odds as of October 1 via BetMGM
Browns vs Commanders Picks Week 5
Commanders TT U23.5 (+105)
Because the Commanders offense, specifically Jayden Daniels, is plastered all over sports talk shows and podcasts, it'd be easy to put in a bet on the Commanders here, but I did just the opposite.
The Browns defense represents a major step up in class for this Commanders offense which has faced the Bucs, Giants, Bengals, and Cardinals. The Commanders only went over the 23.5 team total in two of those games (Bengals & Arizona) and considering the Bengals were without both of their starting interior DL, they legitimately were two of the worst defenses in the entire league.
This Browns defense isn't what it was last year, but they haven't allowed more than 21 points the last three weeks. Denzel Ward should be able to neutralize Terry McLaurin and it's tough to see where the rest of the Commanders offense will come from.
Browns vs Commanders News
Both Browns starting tackles (Jack Conklin and Jedrick Wills Jr.) once again missed last weeks game, so you'll want to keep an eye on Cleveland's practice participation throughout the week. The Browns backup tackles both played last week, but it's fair to wonder if they were 100% after both missed practice with injuries earlier in the week.
Browns vs Commanders Props Week 5
As of the time of writing, props for the Browns vs. Commanders haven't been released at most shops. Be sure to check back here later in the week and on our best NFL Prop bets page.
Browns vs Commanders Betting Trends
- Deshaun Watson has failed to exceed 1.5 TDs in 4 of his last 5 games according to Outlier
- Terry McLaurin has gone under .5 TD in 4 of last 5 home games according to Outlier
- Cleveland is 1-5 SU & ATS in their last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
- Washington is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games at home
