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First-place Bills Look to Extend Bengals’ Struggles on Home Turf

The surprising Buffalo Bills will try to extend their lead atop the AFC East standings when they visit Cincinnati on Sunday for an NFL Week 5 matchup with the Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. The Bills are coming off upset victories over Denver and Atlanta while the Bengals search for an end to a dismal two-game slide on home turf.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Bills’ last eight games against the Bengals.
  • The Bengals are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at home after consecutive road games.
  • The Bills are 7-21-2 ATS in their last 30 games after winning as an underdog.

The 3-1 Bills picked up their second SU win in seven road dates in stunning fashion last week, silencing a vaunted Falcons offense in a 23-17 win in Atlanta as 8-point underdogs. Buffalo also recorded a stifling 23-16 win over the Broncos as 3-point home underdogs two weeks again and is undefeated ATS in three straight as an underdog while limiting opponents to just 14 points per game.

The 1-3 Bengals return home after pounding Cleveland 31-7 as 3-point road chalk to extend their ATS road win streak to four games. However, the Bengals have been dismal at home this season, failing to score a touchdown while getting outscored 33-9 in consecutive SU and ATS losses to Baltimore and Houston to start the season. Cincinnati’s low-scoring ways have produced a 10-2 run for the UNDER in totals betting.

Buffalo recorded a 16-12 win in Cincinnati as a 2.5-point underdog last season to end a three-game SU slide against the Bengals, and is 5-1 SU and ATS in its past six visits to Paul Brown Stadium.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Bettors who were going with the Cincinnati Bengals in this one found them listed as 2.5-point favorites on the betting line at Bovada. Fans betting on totals have seen that number set earlier in the week at 38.5 for Sunday.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas picked a 23-13 win for the Bengals. Injuries during the week may cause the formula to be re-run, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Cincinnati Bengals sport a record of 1-3 and 2-2 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Buffalo Bills sit at 3-1 and 3-0-1 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER totals records are 1-3 for the Bengals and 1-3 for the Bills. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Cincinnati vs Buffalo injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Cincinnati Bengals at No. 8 and the Buffalo Bills at No. 21 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Cincinnati's No. 27-ranked offense, averaging 16 PPG, against a Bills defense that ranks No. 1 this week at 13.5 PPG. The Bengals aerial game is averaging 203 yards per game, less than the Bills secondary allows through the air, 212.75 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Buffalo Bills own the league's No. 15-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 113 yards per game when on the road. Cincinnati, on the other hand, rates No. 25 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Charles Clay was good for 112 receiving yards in the Bills' most recent action, helping his team to a 23-17 victory over the Falcons.

Andy Dalton dusted the Browns secondary for 4 TDs last time out as the Bengals defeated Cleveland 31-7 at FirstEnergy Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Buffalo's last 16 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
  • Buffalo is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
  • Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Buffalo home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, October 22
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, Sunday, October 22