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The home team rules in Bills-Dolphins rivalry

The home team is 6-2 SU and ATS in the last eight games between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins hope to continue that trend and play spoiler this Sunday when they host the Bills in Miami.

  • The Dolphins are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games at home.
  • The Dolphins are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in December.
  • The Bills are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in the late afternoon.

Miami has followed up its shocking upset at home over New England with back-to-back road losses to Buffalo and Kansas City. But perhaps home field will make a difference for the Dolphins, who are 4-2 SU and 3-1-2 ATS in their last six home games compared to an 0-5 SU and ATS record over their last five road games.

Even after losing 37-16 to the Patriots last week to fall to 3-5 SU and ATS over their last eight games, the 8-7 SU and 7-6-2 ATS Bills are still alive in the hunt for a wild-card spot in the AFC. The path is as straightforward as securing a win over Miami and then getting help from the Cincinnati Bengals in defeating the Baltimore Ravens at home.

The total has gone OVER in each of the last five games between these two teams. The OVER is also 8-2 in Miami's last 10 games and 6-2 in Buffalo's last eight games played in December.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Buffalo Bills opened as 2.5-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 42 at most shops.

A 24-18 result in favor of the Dolphins was the prediction by the OddsShark handicapping pick engine earlier this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Buffalo Bills have seen them go 8-7 and 7-6-2 ATS so far this season, while the Miami Dolphins are at 6-9 and 5-8-2 ATS. In totals betting, the Dolphins are 8-7, while the Bills are 8-7. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami vs Buffalo injuries news.

The Dolphins sit at No. 25 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Bills are at No. 29 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Miami Dolphins' No. 27-ranked offense (17.67 PPG) against a Buffalo Bills defense that ranks No. 18 at 22.87 PPG. The Dolphins passing attack has averaged 218.13 yards per game, less than the Bills give up through the air (228.33 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Bills own the league's No. 25-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 125.57 yards per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 29 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Buffalo was hammered in its last outing, as New England ran up a 37-16 score against them at Gillette Stadium.

Miami lost its last outing 29-13 against Kansas City on Sunday, getting a 107-yard receiving performance from Jakeem Grant in a losing cause at Arrowhead Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games
  • Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
  • Miami is 2-6-2 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games
  • Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home