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Bills-Jets Thursday Nighter Will be Decided on the Ground

One of the oldest rivalries in the NFL will book another chapter this Thursday when the Bills and Jets do battle at the Meadowlands in yet another TNF electric factory. While there was more than a little sarcasm implied in that opening sentence, this is a huge game that the Bills need to win and they opened as field-goal favorites to do just that.

  • The Bills are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS this season when they rush for more than 100 yards as a team.
  • The Jets have the 28th-ranked rush defense (128.3 yards per game).
  • The Bills are averaging 124.6 rushing yards per game.

In order for the Bills to win, they’ll need to run the ball effectively against a team that has a harder time stopping the run than Ezekiel Elliott has accepting his six-game suspension. LeSean McCoy is coming off a massive game against the Raiders and with a clean bill of health, he could be primed for another big performance on Thursday.

Before his 151-yard outburst in Week 8, he hadn’t broken the century mark in rushing yards since Week 1 when he and the Bills beat the New York Football Jets 21-12 in Buffalo.

New York will likely put a lot of energy into trying to stop the run but with Muhammad Wilkerson still banged up, that effort might be misplaced against one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL.

The Jets were a source for juicy moneylines early in the season but the tap is starting to run dry and the points they’re offering on Thursday kind of feel like a mirage. They may look attractive to a desperate bettor whose bankroll has evaporated but they probably won’t help quench the thirst.

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Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Buffalo Bills were listed as 3.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as TopBet, with the total listed at 42.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 23-20 victory for the Jets. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Buffalo Bills will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Thursday, as they are 4-1-2 versus the spread this season, while the New York Jets are 5-2-1 ATS. Buffalo is 3-4 against the OVER/UNDER total, while New York is 4-4 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Buffalo injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 27-rated New York Jets and the No. 14-rated Buffalo Bills in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the New York Jets' No. 21-ranked offense (19.62 PPG) against a Buffalo Bills defense that ranks No. 3 at 16.43 PPG. The Jets passing attack has averaged 212.12 yards per game, less than the Bills give up through the air (266.43 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Bills own the league's No. 9-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 97 yards per game when on the road. New York, on the other hand, rates No. 15 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time we saw the Raiders, they had no answer for LeSean McCoy as the Bills rolled to a 34-14 victory at New Era Field.

Robby Anderson hauled in 6 passes for 104 yards against the Atlanta defense in the Jets' last game, but the result was a 25-20 loss against the Falcons on Sunday.

Betting Trends
  • Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
  • Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • NY Jets is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • NY Jets is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
  • NY Jets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • NY Jets is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Buffalo home to New Orleans, Sunday, November 12
New York at Tampa Bay, Sunday, November 12