Events
NFL
Buffalo
Bills
1 - 2
New England
Patriots
3 - 0
October 02, 2016, 1:00 PM EDT
 | Gillette Stadium

Game Preview

Buffalo
Bills
1 - 2
New England
Patriots
3 - 0
October 02, 2016, 1:00 PM EDT
 | Gillette Stadium

  • No need to beat around the bush — the Patriots are 27-3 SU and 18-10-2 ATS vs the Bills since 2001. This matchup has been about as one-sided as it gets and it’s not even close as only six of those 27 New England wins were decided by less than a TD. To pile on Buffalo even more, going all the way back to 1995, they’re just 3-18 SU on the road in New England.

    Shark Bites
    • In the last four games that LeGarrette Blount received 22 or more touches, he’s averaged 106.7 rush yards with at least 1 TD.
    • The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four games at home.
    • The Bills are 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games after winning as an underdog.

    The big question this week will be who’s taking snaps for the Patriots with Jacoby Brissett banging up his thumb and Jimmy Garoppolo still recovering from a shoulder injury. Brissett practised early in the week, making him the likely starter. Either way, the Patriots are likely to pound the ball and add to their league-leading 452 rushing yards. The Bills have already allowed five rushing TDs — the third-most in the NFL this season.

    One of Buffalo’s biggest issues the past few seasons has been their inability to string together wins. They had a big upset win over the Cardinals last week, but are 8-25 SU in their last 33 games after a win and haven’t won in consecutive weeks as an underdog since 2009, which is a very long stretch considering how often they're the underdog.

    Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark pick a 29-13 result in favor of the Patriots. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

    Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Matchup

    Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

    The New England Patriots are 3-0 so far on the season, and 3-0 ATS vs the point spread. The Buffalo Bills, meanwhile, are 1-2 and 1-2 ATS. Those over under betting have seen New England go 1-1-1 and the Buffalo Bills go 2-1 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs Buffalo injuries news.

    This game matches up the No. 8 (New England Patriots) and the No. 14 (Buffalo Bills) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at Odds Shark.

    Statistical Matchup

    The game also pits New England's No. 6-ranked offense, averaging 27 PPG, against a Bills defense that ranks No. 17 this week at 22.67 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 219.33 yards per game, less than the Bills secondary allows through the air, 276.33 YPG per game.

    Defensively, the Buffalo Bills feature the league's No. 8-rated road run defense, allowing 83 yards per game. The New England Patriots, meanwhile, ranks No. 1 in rushing offense at home.

    Recent Outings Betting Recap

    LeSean McCoy went over the 100-yard mark (110) in his team's latest effort as Buffalo defeated Arizona by a score of 33-18 on Sunday.

    Betting Trends
    • Buffalo is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against New England
    • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
    • Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
    • Buffalo is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games when playing New England
    • New England is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    • New England is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    • New England is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing Buffalo

    Next Betting Matchups

    Buffalo at Los Angeles, Sunday, October 9th
    New England at Cleveland, Sunday, October 9th

Back to Matchup
Power Ranking
Buffalo 4
New England 22
Betting Odds Preview

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

The Patriots are 27-3 SU and 18-10-2 ATS vs the Bills since 2001. This matchup has been about as one-sided as it gets and it’s not even close as only six of those 27 New England wins were decided by less than a TD.​

Smart Chart
  • BUF
  • 27.72
  • 19.11
  • 8.61
  • 261.50
  • 133.44
  • 214.56
  • 104.83
  • 0.11
  •  
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Differential
  • Passing Yards
  • Rush Yards
  • Passing Yards Allowed
  • Rushing Yards Allowed
  • Turnover Differential
  • NE
  • 21.41
  • 20.41
  • 1.00
  • 207.94
  • 106.65
  • 216.53
  • 105.47
  • -0.41
Head to Head Summary

No data available.

Team Record
Buffalo Bills
All Last 3 vs Conf vs Div
Record1-21-20-20-1
Home1-11-10-10-1
Away0-10-10-10-0
ATS1-21-20-20-1
ATS Home1-11-10-10-1
ATS Away0-10-10-10-0
Offense23.6723.6715.5031.00
Defense22.6722.6718.5037.00
Diff1.001.00-3.00-6.00
Team Record
New England Patriots
All Last 3 vs Conf vs Div
Record3-03-02-01-0
Home2-02-02-01-0
Away1-01-00-00-0
ATS3-03-02-01-0
ATS Home2-02-02-01-0
ATS Away1-01-00-00-0
Offense27.0027.0015.5031.00
Defense15.0015.0012.0024.00
Diff12.0012.003.507.00
Head to Head Detail
Search NFL DatabaseTeamsScoreRush YardsPass YardsTotal YardsTurnovers
Nov 23, 2015BUF13942253191
NE20852713561
Sep 20, 2015NE40564515072
BUF321601893493
Dec 28, 2014BUF171041642681
NE91161442600
Oct 12, 2014NE37503463960
BUF22682683363
Dec 29, 2013BUF201692243930
NE342671153821
Sep 8, 2013NE231582734313
BUF211361502862
Nov 11, 2012BUF311623194813
NE371172303470
Sep 30, 2012NE522473335802
BUF28983404386
Jan 1, 2012BUF211062964024
NE491383424801
Sep 25, 2011NE311083874954
BUF34793694482
Betting Odds Trends
Buffalo Bills
  • Buffalo is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
  • Buffalo is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games when playing New England
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games when playing New England
  • Buffalo is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against New England
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
Betting Odds Trends
New England Patriots
  • New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • New England is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games at home
  • New England is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing Buffalo
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 10 games when playing Buffalo
  • New England is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
  • New England is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Buffalo
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Injuries
Buffalo Bills
  • No Injuries
Injuries
New England Patriots
  • Riley Reiff T IR, Shoulder
  • Jonathan Jones CB Is "?" Sunday vs Dallas, Ankle
  • Davon Godchaux DT Left last game, is "?" Sunday vs Dallas, Ankle
  • Daniel Ekuale DT Left last game, is "?" Sunday vs Dallas, Elbow
  • Marcus Jones CB IR, Shoulder
  • Jack Jones CB IR, Hamstring
  • Sidy Sow G Is "?" Sunday vs Dallas, Concussion
Last 5 Games
Buffalo Bills
View Game Logs
Date OPP Score SU Line ATS Off. Rush Off. Pass Off. Total Def. Rush Def. Pass Def. Total TO
Sep 25, 2016ARI33-18W4.5/48W/O20888296114234348-4
Sep 15, 2016NYJ31-37L-1/40.5L/O863073931233704930
Sep 11, 2016BAL7-13L3/44.5L/U659516083225308-1
Jan 3, 2016NYJ22-17W3/41W/U113182295122178300-2
Dec 27, 2015DAL16-6W-6.5/42W/U2361724081211863070
New England Patriots
View Game Logs
Date OPP Score SU Line ATS Off. Rush Off. Pass Off. Total Def. Rush Def. Pass Def. Total TO
Sep 22, 2016HOU27-0W-1/39.5W/U18597282109175284-3
Sep 18, 2016MIA31-24W-6/42W/O16130446570389459-3
Sep 11, 2016ARI23-21W9.5/44W/P106257363922523442
Jan 24, 2016DEN18-20L-3/45L/U44292336991452441
Jan 16, 2016KC27-20W-6/44.5W/O38302340135243378-1
Offensive Comparison

No data available.

Defensive Comparison
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots

Scoring Allowed

Points Allowed

19.11 20.41

Last 3 Games

22.67 15.00

Yards Per Point

14.25 14.69

Overall Yards Allowed

Total

319.39 322

Passing

214.56 216.53

Rushing

104.83 105.47

On Road vs. At Home Yards Allowed

Total

278.13 306.25

Passing

186.50 186.25

Rushing

91.63 120.00
Supergrid
Stat Rank Stat Rank
Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense27.72320.4111
Away Team Road Passing vs Home Team Home Passing Defense251.006186.254
Away Team Road Rushing vs Home Team Home Rushing Defense146.254120.0017
Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense21.411619.114
Home Team Home Passing vs Away Team Road Passing Defense198.6325186.505
Home Team Home Rushing vs Away Team Road Rushing Defense94.752791.633
Recent Form

No data available.

Power Stats
  • BUF
  • 14.25
  • 16.71
  • -2.47
  •  
  • 11.51
  • 9.58
  • 1.93
  •  
  • 5.06
  • 4.28
  • 0.78
  • Yards Per Point
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Differential
  • Yards Per Pass
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Differential
  • Yards Per Rush
  • Offense
  • Defense
  • Differential
  • NE
  • 14.69
  • 15.78
  • -1.08
  •  
  • 9.87
  • 10.11
  • -0.24
  •  
  • 4.27
  • 4.07
  • 0.2