Canada vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Odds & Picks: Nylander Will Shine

Canada kicks off the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off as a massive -255 moneyline favorite over Sweden.

The Swedes sit at +205 to win the opening contest, with the point total set at O/U 5.5 at Sportsbook.

I've got full picks for Canada vs Sweden odds below, as well as a player prop and some betting trends:

Canada vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Odds

Canada vs Sweden, February 12th, 8:10 pm ET

Odds as of February 12th at Sportsbook

Canada vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Picks

UNDER 5.5 Goals, -110 at Sportsbook

This Canada team has all the top talent in the world, with Connor McDavid, Sidney Crosby, and Cale Makar. But, when the games matter most, the Canadians love to play no mistake, shutdown hockey. In the last two games of the 2016 World Cup (the last time we saw NHL players at a best-on-best) Canada's games totaled to four and three goals. In the medal rounds of the 2014 Sochi Olympics, Canada's games never totalled more than three goals (2-1, 1-0, 3-0).

In such a short tournament, I expect Canada to play every game at the 4 Nations like an elimination contest. That means no risks, possession hockey, and low-scoring games. The goaltending is obviously a question mark with Jordan Binnington in net, but I still think we get below 5.5 goals with ease in this one.

If you're going to lock in a bet on Wednesday's 4 Nations action, take advantage of FanDuel's 25% profit boost on picks and props for Canada vs Sweden:

Sweden Moneyline, +202 at Sportsbook

If you really want a winner pick for this contest, I'm taking the Swedes. I have some serious questions about Canada's goaltending and the health of Sidney Crosby is also very much up in the air. For a nation that has lost its grip on the international hockey stage since the last best-on-best tournament, this could be a public reckoning for Canada.

Canada vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Props

William Nylander To Score, +300 at Sportsbook

Nylander has the eighth-shortest odds to score in this game, which is frankly disrespectful. The Swedish winger has more goals this NHL season than any other player in the 4 Nations, with 33 in 55 games this year. He's on pace to score 40+ goals for a third-straight season.

Unlike many Leafs players, Nylander also loves the spotlight. In his last 20 NHL playoff games, Nylander has 10 goals and 10 assists. The Swedish forward also loves this specific venue. In three games at Bell Centre this year, Nylander already has two goals and three points.

With my biggest worry for this game being Canada's goaltending, I've gotta take a value prop on a Swedish goal. Nylander is the perfect guy to target.

Canada vs Sweden Prop Betting Handles

We've got some early betting data from Sportsbook for Canada vs Sweden props, and bettors (obviously) love Connor McDavid. However, bettors are taking the slightly worse value on Nathan MacKinnon to score the game's opening goal:

Most bet anytime goal scorer at Sportsbook:

Most bet first goal scorer at Sportsbook:

Canada vs Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off Betting Trends

• Sweden's William Nylander has five goals in his last five NHL games, heading into the 4 Nations (+300 to score at Sportsbook)
• Canada's Mitch Marner has four points in his last five games (-172 to get a point at Sportsbook)
• Adrian Kempe has OVER 2.5 shots in nine of his last 10 NHL games (his O2.5 SOG is +104 at Sportsbook)
• Brad Marchand led the 2016 World Cup of Hockey with five goals in six games (+420 to score at Sportsbook)