Capping Strength Of Schedule For NFL Season Win Totals

NFL season win totals are trickling out and so the NFL is starting to get fun. 

The lines opened first at South Point in Las Vegas and Sportsbook came out with their odds this week. Below is a comparison between the Las Vegas Sportsbook line versus the current number at Sportsbook. Our numbers nerds also crunched the numbers to give a look at strength of schedule based on last year's opponents' win record. 

Take a look at the chart below for your handicapping info. A few quick notes: 

  • Patriots are a full game higher since the original number
  • Raiders, Panthers, Ravens, Eagles, Saints, Bucs, Cards, Jags, Bears are all at least 1/2 game in difference from the original line.
  • Chiefs have the toughest schedule based on last year. Colts have the easiest. 
2017 NFL Season Win Totals
Team South Point Sportsbook Odds Sportsbook Odds Strength of Sked (2016 opp. win %) 
New England Patriots 11.5 (-120 OVER) 12.5 (-125 O) 9th - 52.7% (135-121)
Pittsburgh Steelers 10.5 (-120 OVER) 10.5 27th - 44.9% (115-139-2)
Seattle Seahawks  10.5 10.5 28th - 44.9% (115-138-3)
Atlanta Falcons 10 (-120 UNDER) 9.5 (-125 O) 13th - 52% (133-122-1)
Green Bay Packers 10 (-120 UNDER) 10 (-130 O) 17th - 47.7% (122-132-2)
Dallas Cowboys 9.5 (-120 OVER) 9.5 (-150 U) 12th - 52.3% (134-118-4)
Oakland Raiders 9.5 (-120 OVER) 10 (-125 O) 4th - 56.3% (144-111-1)
Baltimore Ravens 9.5 (-125 OVER) 9 (-125 U) 24th - 45.7% (117-137-2)
Tennessee Titans 9.5 8.5 30th - 43.4% (111-142-3)
Kansas City Chiefs 9 (-120 OVER) 9 (-125 U) 1st - 57.4% (147-108-1)
Carolina Panthers 9 (-120 OVER) 8.5 (-140 O) 16th - 50.4% (129-127)
New York Giants 9 (-120 UNDER) 9 (-125 U) 10th - 52.7% (135-117-4)
Indianapolis Colts  9 (-115 UNDER) 9 (-130 U) 32nd - 41.8% (107-146-3)
Cincinnati Bengals 8.5 (-120 OVER) 8.5 (-130 U) 29th - 44.9% (115-141)
Denver Broncos 8.5 (-120 OVER) 8.5 (-125 U) 2nd- 57.4% (147-107-2)
Houston Texans 8.5 (-120 OVER) 8.5 (-130 O) 26th - 44.9% (115-138-3)
Philadelphia Eagles 8.5 8 (-125 O) 11th - 52.3% (134-118-4)
MInnesota Vikings 8.5 8.5 (-130 U) 25th 44.9% (115-139-2)
New Orleans Saints 8.5 (-120 UNDER) 8 (-125 O) 15th - 50.8% (130-125-1)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8 8.5 (-125 U) 14th - 51.6% (132-123-1)
Detroit Lions 8 8 (-130 U) 20th - 46.5% (119-135-2)
Washington Redskins 7.5 (-120 OVER) 7.5 (-125 O) 7th - 53.9% (138-116-2)
Arizona Cardinals 7.5 (-125 OVER) 8 (-125 U) 23rd - 46.1% (118-135-3)
Los Angeles Chargers 7.5 7.5 3rd -  56.6% (145-110-1)
Miami Dolphins 7.5 7.5 (-130 O) 6th -54.7% (140-116)
Buffalo Bills 6 6 (-130 O) 5th - 55.9% (143-112-1)
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5 6 (-125 O) 31st - 43.4% (111-142-3)
New York Jets 5.5 (-120 OVER) 5 8th - 53.5% - (137-119)
Los Angeles Rams 5.5 (-135 OVER) 5.5 (-130 U) 19th- 47.3% (121-130-5)
Chicago Bears 5 5.5 (-140 U) 18th - 47.7% (122-133-1)
San Francisco 49ers 4.5 4.5 (-140 O) 22nd - 46.5% (119-132-5)
Cleveland Browns 4.5 (-125) 4.5 (-125 U) 21st - 46.5% (119-135-2)

Follow me on Twitter @JonnyOddsShark