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Packers Have Owned Bears SU but Have Not Been Covering

Bears fans have not had much to celebrate over the last few seasons but it seems to be coming to a head this year. They will take on the underachieving Packers on Thursday night in Week 7 action at Lambeau Field looking for their first road win of the season.

  • The Bears are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games against the Packers.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Packers' last 9 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Bears' last 17 games against the Packers.

Green Bay has gone into all of its games as the favorite so far and opened up laying nine points to the visiting Bears this week. The Packers have covered the spread just once this season and they managed that feat by just half a point against the Lions. G-Bay has owned the Bears straight up for quite a while but the points in this seems like a tough bet unless they drop drastically.

The Packers haven’t beaten a team by more than seven points in the 2016 regular season and actually have one of the worst offenses in the league, having scored over 30 points just once. Chicago has lost just two games by more than nine points this year and in the last one gave up 447 yards of offense. For the season, the Bears have allowed just 341.2 so if the Packers hope to cover on Thursday, they may have to have their best offensive performance of the year.

I have pretty low expectations that this game turns into a shootout and based on the UNDER trends and the offensive anemia these teams have demonstrated in the first third of this NFL season, I have little faith the Bears, who average 16.8 points per game, and the Packers, who average 22.8 points per game, can combine to eclipse a total in the mid- to high 40s.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The point spread was settled in at -9 for the host Green Bay Packers earlier in the week, according to Bovada. The over under betting line was hovering around 47, with odds movement expected during the week at MyBookie.

A 30-15 result in favor of the Packers is the prediction by the Odds Shark handicapping pick engine. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Green Bay Packers sport a record of 3-2 and 1-3-1 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Chicago Bears sit at 1-5 and 1-5 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 2-3 for the Packers and 2-3-1 for the Bears. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Green Bay vs Chicago injuries news.

The game pits the Green Bay Packers, currently No. 18 in our Odds Shark NFL Power Rankings, against the Chicago Bears, who rate No. 27 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Green Bay's No. 17-ranked offense, averaging 22.8 PPG, against a Bears defense that ranks No. 19 this week at 23.83 PPG. The Packers aerial game is averaging 226.6 yards per game, less than the Bears secondary allows through the air, 233.5 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Chicago Bears feature the league's No. 29-rated road run defense, allowing 142.67 yards per game. The Green Bay Packers, meanwhile, ranks No. 13 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Brian Hoyer's 302-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Jacksonville earned a 17-16 win over Chicago on Sunday at Soldier Field.

The Packers suffered a Week 6 loss against Dallas in their last game, falling 30-16 at Lambeau Field.

Betting Trends
  • Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
  • Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Green Bay's last 20 games
  • Green Bay is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
  • Green Bay is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Chicago home to Minnesota, Monday, October 31st
Green Bay at Atlanta, Sunday, October 30th