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Buccaneers Look to Maintain Perfect Home Record

Leonard Fournette and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are big home favorites in Week 7 NFL betting odds vs the Chicago Bears.

The Chicago Bears (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) will want to turn the page as quickly as possible after some unfortunate decisions led to an embarrassing defeat against the rival Green Bay Packers. Meanwhile, the Eagles made life difficult for the Buccaneers (5-1, 2-4) on Thursday Night Football but Tampa Bay held on for a victory after a great first quarter.

Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Date/Time: October 24, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
  • TV Coverage: CBS
  • Opening Odds: Buccaneers -10 | O/U 49 (Line History)
  • Bears vs Buccaneers Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The Buccaneers are a perfect 3-0 at home this season and have scored 31, 48 and 45 points in front of the fans at Raymond James Stadium. Justin Fields, meanwhile, has yet to look comfortable at quarterback in his limited opportunities and the Bears continue to struggle to put up points. The rookie signal-caller certainly needs more time to develop his understanding of the professional game.

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Chicago News & Notes

Despite a poor showing against Green Bay, there is plenty of time for the Bears to turn things around with the team just one win away from a positive record.

Fans are still waiting for things to click for Fields, and this team could be dangerous if the young quarterback finds his groove. Unfortunately, injury issues have kept him from having all of his weapons in the lineup.

David Montgomery remains on injured reserve and will miss at least two more games, but Damien Williams should be returning after missing action last week due to a positive COVID-19 test.

The Bears are still one of the best defensive units in the league, though they’ve struggled against explosive offenses. Tom Brady and company will prove to be a lot to handle.

Tampa Bay News & Notes

Tampa Bay’s pass rush is great at pressuring quarterbacks and will likely feast on an inexperienced Fields. The play of the Bucs defense also provides Brady ample opportunities to score.

Brady is an expert at engineering long drives that eat up the clock, and the opposing team’s chances of victory are slim when he has too much possession time.

Over the past three weeks, the Buccaneers have looked like a more complete team on offense. They’ve managed to involve Leonard Fournette on a regular basis, which adds another dynamic to their potent offense.

How Chicago Will Cover

The Bears can cover by limiting Tom Brady’s opportunities but it’ll take a heroic performance from Chicago’s defense for that to happen. Justin Fields also has to make the most of his opportunities. If the Bears struggle to put up points, their defense will not hold out, no matter how well they play.

How Tampa Bay Will Cover

The Buccaneers are no strangers to a big spread, consistently going into matchups as sizable favorites. They haven’t always answered the call particularly well, which is evident in their 2-4 ATS record. However, Chicago’s offense will likely get swallowed up on the road, leading to a heavy point differential.

Computer Pick: Buccaneers -13

For more Week 7 predictions, visit our NFL Computer Picks page.

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Shark Bites
  • Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 home games.
  • Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games as an underdog.
  • The OVER is 10-3 in Tampa Bay’s last 13 as a home fave.