Joe Burrow's Bengals featured in our Bengals vs Chiefs picks and odds

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs

Cincinnati
Bengals
14 - 4
Kansas City
Chiefs
15 - 3
January 29, 2023, 6:30 PM EST
 | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Game Preview

Cincinnati
Bengals
14 - 4
Kansas City
Chiefs
15 - 3
January 29, 2023, 6:30 PM EST
 | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • The Kansas City Chiefs (15-3 SU, 7-11 ATS) and Cincinnati Bengals (14-4, 13-5) will meet a second time this season on Sunday in a pick’em rematch of last year’s AFC championship game for the right to go to Super Bowl 57 in Arizona.

    The third-seeded Bengals are coming off an impressive 27-10 upset victory against the second-seeded Buffalo Bills last Sunday as 5.5-point road underdogs for their 10th consecutive win. A day earlier, the top-seeded Chiefs edged the fourth-seeded Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20 but failed to cover the spread as 9.5-point home favorites, with likely NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes suffering a high-ankle sprain.

    Latest Betting Notes: Bengals

    Cincinnati is 3-0 both SU and ATS vs Kansas City with quarterback Joe Burrow under center, as Mahomes has yet to beat him in three head-to-head matchups. That includes a 27-24 win for the Bengals over the Chiefs as 2.5-point home underdogs in Week 13. In fact, that was the same exact score of last year’s AFC title win for Cincinnati at Kansas City, and all of the last three games in this series have been decided by three points.

    The Bengals were dominant against the Bills, so dominant that this has become a dead-even game in the eyes of oddsmakers and bettors, in part due to the status of Mahomes, who is expected to play but will be less than 100 percent. Last year, Cincinnati pulled off the upset as a 7-point road underdog to get to the Super Bowl.

    Latest Betting Notes: Chiefs

    All eyes will obviously be on Mahomes leading up to kickoff, with each of his moves – and lack thereof – analyzed in order to provide an update on his playing status. It would be a shocker if he did not suit up for Kansas City considering he went back into last week’s game after halftime despite knowing he had a high-ankle sprain, which is usually an injury that takes at least six to eight weeks to fully recover from.

    That said, the big question is whether or not it will literally hurt the team’s chances to succeed with him on the field since he will not be the same MVP-caliber player. It will be interesting to see how head coach Andy Reid adapts the offensive game plan for the Chiefs, perhaps relying on the running game more because Mahomes will not have the same mobility that makes him so dangerous as a passer. Regardless, their defense will also need to play at its best.

    The Keys to Victory: Bengals

    Burrow is the biggest key to victory for Cincinnati based on how he has performed in this series previously. If he continues to play at an exceptional level like he has for the most part during the team’s franchise-best winning streak, it is hard to imagine the Bengals not winning not only this game but the Super Bowl as well.

    They have earned the respect of the sportsbooks and bettors alike, and even a patchwork offensive line missing three starters surrendered only one sack at Buffalo. If Cincinnati’s line can hold up again, Burrow should be able to work his magic and improve to 4-0 in his career vs Kansas City.

    The Keys to Victory: Chiefs

    Coaching and defense can be the difference for Kansas City in this one, so it will be very important for Reid to not lean too heavily on Mahomes and instead relieve some pressure on him somehow. That will probably mean a heavier dose of running backs Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon, who combined to run for 120 yards on 23 carries last Saturday.

    McKinnon is a veteran who has served mostly as a third-down player but may be called upon more because of his superior blocking ability over the rookie Pacheco, who is the more effective runner of the two. Making sure Mahomes stays upright throughout the game is critical too, which is why his teammates must come through for the Chiefs to win.

Odds

Sunday, January 29 Sun Jan 29


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+2.5
+100
-110
o48.5
-110
-2.5
-120
-110
u48.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+2
-110
+109
o48.5
-114
-2
-110
-129
u48.5
-106

Edge Finder

26.00
Total Score
29.06
260.18
Passing Yards
293.33
92.88
Rushing Yards
117.44
31:58
Time on Field
30:33
65.12
Number of Plays
64.50
5.42
Yards Per Play
6.37
26.00
Total Score
29.06
5.71
First Quarter
5.56
8.53
Second Quarter
10.11
5.47
Third Quarter
6.28
6.29
Fourth Quarter
6.61
260.18
Passing Yards
293.33
37.76
Pass Attempts
38.22
25.94
Pass Completions
25.67
2.82
Sacks
1.44
18.00
Sack Yards
10.44
10.03
Yards Per Pass
11.43
92.88
Rushing Yards
117.44
24.53
Rush Attempts
24.83
3.79
Yards Per Rush
4.73
0.71
Interceptions
0.67
0.76
Fumbles
1.17
0.41
Fumbles Lost
0.61
1.12
Total Turnovers
1.28
5.18
Penalties
5.00
39.12
Penalty Yards
48.22
31:58
Time on Field
30:33
65.12
Number of Plays
64.50
5.42
Yards Per Play
6.37
3.65
Punts
3.17
45.44
Punt Average
50.45
65.88
Return Yards
65.67

Head To Head

CIN
Stat Type KC
8-2
Record
2-8
7-3
ATS
3-7
3-7
O/U
3-7
23.80
Score
20.40
124.80
Rush Yds
124.40
31.20
Pass Attempts
35.80
66.03
Completion %
65.08
232.20
Passing Yds
234.80
357
Total Yds
359.2
0.70
Turnovers
1.40
CIN
Stat Type KC
3-0
Record
0-3
3-0
ATS
0-3
1-2
O/U
1-2
29.33
Score
26.33
109.33
Rush Yds
144.00
36.33
Pass Attempts
33.67
71.56
Completion %
67.33
312.33
Passing Yds
235.33
421.67
Total Yds
379.33
0.33
Turnovers
1.00
Dec 4/22 (1 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
27
Score
24
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
53.5 o
O/U
53.5 u
152
Rush Yds
138
31
Pass Attempts
27
80.65
Completion %
59.26
279
Passing Yds
211
431
Total Yds
349
0
Turnovers
1
Jan 30/22 (2 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
27
Score
24
+7
ATS
-7
54.5 o
O/U
54.5 u
116
Rush Yds
139
38
Pass Attempts
39
60.53
Completion %
66.67
243
Passing Yds
236
359
Total Yds
375
1
Turnovers
2
Jan 2/22 (3 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
34
Score
31
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
51 o
O/U
51 u
60
Rush Yds
155
40
Pass Attempts
35
75.00
Completion %
74.29
415
Passing Yds
259
475
Total Yds
414
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 21/18 (4 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
10
Score
45
+6.5
ATS
-6.5
56.5 o
O/U
56.5 u
65
Rush Yds
198
33
Pass Attempts
39
57.58
Completion %
71.79
174
Passing Yds
353
239
Total Yds
551
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 4/15 (5 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
36
Score
21
-3.5
ATS
+3.5
45.5 o
O/U
45.5 u
124
Rush Yds
113
24
Pass Attempts
45
70.83
Completion %
68.89
321
Passing Yds
348
445
Total Yds
461
0
Turnovers
1
Nov 18/12 (6 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
28
Score
6
-3
ATS
+3
43 o
O/U
43 u
189
Rush Yds
113
29
Pass Attempts
30
62.07
Completion %
56.67
220
Passing Yds
171
409
Total Yds
284
0
Turnovers
1
Dec 27/09 (7 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
17
Score
10
-13
ATS
+13
39.5 o
O/U
39.5 u
144
Rush Yds
123
25
Pass Attempts
37
68.00
Completion %
59.46
130
Passing Yds
172
274
Total Yds
295
1
Turnovers
2
Dec 28/08 (8 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
16
Score
6
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
40 o
O/U
40 u
204
Rush Yds
31
30
Pass Attempts
36
60.00
Completion %
52.78
125
Passing Yds
189
329
Total Yds
220
0
Turnovers
1
Oct 14/07 (9 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
20
Score
27
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
44 o
O/U
44 u
78
Rush Yds
121
43
Pass Attempts
35
60.47
Completion %
71.43
295
Passing Yds
233
373
Total Yds
354
3
Turnovers
2
Sep 10/06 (10 of 10)
CIN
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
23
Score
10
-1.5
ATS
+1.5
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
116
Rush Yds
113
19
Pass Attempts
35
68.42
Completion %
65.71
120
Passing Yds
176
236
Total Yds
289
1
Turnovers
3

Team Records

CIN
Record KC
14-4
All
15-3
7-1
Home
8-1
7-3
Away
7-2
13-5
ATS
7-11
5-3
ATS Home
3-6
8-2
ATS Away
4-5
7-10-1
O/U
8-10
4-4
O/U Home
2-7
3-6-1
O/U Away
6-3
CIN
Record KC
10-3
All
10-3
5-1
Home
6-1
5-2
Away
4-2
9-4
ATS
2-11
3-3
ATS Home
1-6
6-1
ATS Away
1-5
3-9-1
O/U
5-8
2-4
O/U Home
2-5
1-5-1
O/U Away
3-3
CIN
Record KC
4-3
All
6-0
3-1
Home
3-0
1-2
Away
3-0
3-4
ATS
1-5
1-3
ATS Home
0-3
2-1
ATS Away
1-2
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
CIN
Record KC
10-0
All
9-1
5-0
Home
5-0
5-0
Away
4-1
8-2
ATS
4-6
3-2
ATS Home
3-2
5-0
ATS Away
1-4
5-5
O/U
4-6
3-2
O/U Home
1-4
2-3
O/U Away
3-2

Gametime Weather

Weather
5:30pm Partly Cloudy
-6ºC / 21ºF
60% Humidity
2% Precipitation
59% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 11
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
Clark HarrisTEIR, Biceps
La'el CollinsTIR, Knee
Chidobe AwuzieCBIR; is out for season, Knee
Hayden HurstTEIs probable Sunday vs Kansas City, Calf
Alex CappaGIs OUT Sunday vs Kansas City, Ankle
Tre FlowersCBIs probable Sunday vs Kansas City, Undisclosed
Jonah WilliamsTIs OUT Sunday vs Kansas City, Knee
Drew SampleTEIR, Knee
Elijah HolyfieldRBIR, Leg
Tycen AndersonSIR, Hamstring
Ben BrownCIR, Biceps
NamePositionInj Desc
Travis KelceTEIs probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Back
Patrick MahomesQBIs probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Ankle
Justin WatsonWRIs "?" Sunday vs Cincinnati, Illness
Mecole HardmanWRIs "?" Sunday vs Cincinnati, Pelvis
Jody FortsonTEIs probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Elbow
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBIs probable Sunday vs Cincinnati, Ankle
Lucas NiangTPUP, Knee
Tershawn WhartonDTIs out for season, ACL
Justyn RossWRIR, Foot

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Jan 22, 2023BUF27-10W+5.5/48.5W/U17224041263262325-1
Jan 15, 2023BAL24-17W-8/40L/O51183234155209364-1
Jan 8, 2023BAL27-16W-11.5/39L/O55202257110276386-3
Dec 24, 2022NE22-18W-3/41.5W/U73369442612242852
Dec 18, 2022TB34-23W-3.5/47.5W/O5318423792304396-3
Dec 11, 2022CLE23-10W-4/47W/U136227363712733440
Dec 4, 2022KC27-24W+2.5/53.5W/U152279431138211349-1
Nov 27, 2022TEN20-16WEvW/U108266374632813440
Nov 20, 2022PIT37-30W-3.5/39.5W/O623464081022493512
Nov 6, 2022CAR42-21W-7/42.5W/O24122346464164228-3
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Jan 21, 2023JAC27-20W-9.5/52L/U144218362144205349-2
Jan 7, 2023LV31-13W-8.5/52W/U16818134999180279-2
Jan 1, 2023DEN27-24W-12.5/46L/O463283741171903070
Dec 24, 2022SEA24-10W-10/50.5W/U77220297133200333-1
Dec 18, 2022HOU30-24W-14/48.5L/O189313502941252191
Dec 11, 2022DEN34-28W-9/44L/O893424311062143201
Dec 4, 2022CIN24-27L-2.5/53.5L/U1382113491522794311
Nov 27, 2022LAR26-10W-15.5/42W/U117320437116821980
Nov 20, 2022LAC30-27W-5.5/53L/O163322485115250365-1
Nov 13, 2022JAC27-17W-9.5/51.5W/U155331486752403153
View Game Logs