Events
NFL
Cleveland
Browns
12 - 5
Kansas City
Chiefs
14 - 2
January 17, 2021, 3:05 PM EST
 | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Game Preview

Cleveland
Browns
12 - 5
Kansas City
Chiefs
14 - 2
January 17, 2021, 3:05 PM EST
 | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

  • The Cleveland Browns made history last weekend with their first postseason victory in over a quarter-century – but earning a second will be a tall task as they tangle with host Kansas City in an NFL divisional-round game. The Browns (12-5 SU, 7-10 ATS) are double-digit underdogs against a Chiefs team (14-2 SU, 6-9-1 ATS) that rolled to the NFL’s best regular-season record.

    Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs
    • Date/Time: January 17, 3:05 p.m. ET
    • Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
    • TV Coverage: CBS
    • Sportsbook Odds: Chiefs -10 | O/U 56 (Line History)
    • Browns vs Chiefs Matchup Report

    Sportsbook Odds Analysis

    Kansas City opened the betting as a 10-point favorite, though you can now find -10.5 depending on where you wager. The total is set at a sky-high 56, the eighth time in nine games the Chiefs have seen a total above 50.

    Cleveland News & Notes

    It wasn’t pretty as Cleveland jumped out to a 28-0 first-quarter lead, then held on for dear life in a 48-37 wild-card win over the rival Pittsburgh Steelers for the Browns’ first playoff triumph since 1995.

    More impressively, the Browns won despite having to deal with COVID-19 concerns that left them without head coach Kevin Stefanski and Pro Bowl guard Joel Bitonio, among others.

    Cleveland comes in having won seven of nine but has covered just four times over that span. Still, there’s reason for optimism, at least from a cover standpoint: the Browns have gone 3-1 ATS in their past four road games, including a pair of outright wins as underdogs.

    Look for Cleveland to lean on the run game against a Chiefs team ranked 21st in rushing defense.

    Kansas City News & Notes

    The Browns will need a whole lot more than five yards per carry to advance to the AFC championship game as they tangle with a formidable Chiefs offense. Kansas City finished with the sixth-most points in the NFL this season, while their plus-111 point differential ranked No. 7 overall. The defending champions also led the league in passing offense at 303.4 yards per game.

    But there are plenty of reasons for Browns bettors to be bullish here. The Chiefs boasted one of the worst ATS records of any team in the league, and each of their final seven regular-season victories came by six or fewer points.

    They’re also a dismal 1-4 ATS in their last five games as double-digit favorites, including an outright 40-32 loss to Las Vegas at -10.5 on October 11.

    Betting Pick: Browns +10.5 (-110)

    Cleveland was full value for its upset win over Pittsburgh – and with Stefanski returning and a full week of normal practice ahead of them, the Browns should make this one a lot closer than oddsmakers project.

    Want more Expert Betting Picks?

    Check out the best sports handicapping services on the market today!

    Buy Sports Picks Now
    Shark Bites
    • The Browns are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
    • The Chiefs are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
    • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 7 games.
Back to Matchup

Odds

Sunday, January 17 Sun Jan 17

Opening
Current
Cleveland
vsFinal
Kansas City
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+9
-110
+384
o52.5
-110
-9
-110
-500
u52.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+7.5
-113
+315
o56
-107
-7.5
-107
-385
u56
-113
Line History
Final

Edge Finder

21.24
 Total Score
29.18
202.59
 Passing Yards
297.76
146.47
 Rushing Yards
115.88
31:49
 Time on Field
30:18
65.65
 Number of Plays
64.35
5.32
 Yards Per Play
6.43
21.24
 Total Score
29.18
4.00
 First Quarter
5.47
5.71
 Second Quarter
10.12
4.35
 Third Quarter
6.47
6.82
 Fourth Quarter
6.59
202.59
 Passing Yards
297.76
31.76
 Pass Attempts
38.29
19.71
 Pass Completions
25.59
2.59
 Sacks
1.53
15.65
 Sack Yards
11.06
10.28
 Yards Per Pass
11.64
146.47
 Rushing Yards
115.88
31.29
 Rush Attempts
24.53
4.68
 Yards Per Rush
4.72
0.71
 Interceptions
0.71
0.76
 Fumbles
1.24
0.53
 Fumbles Lost
0.65
1.24
 Total Turnovers
1.35
6.00
 Penalties
5.12
50.88
 Penalty Yards
49.29
31:49
 Time on Field
30:18
65.65
 Number of Plays
64.35
5.32
 Yards Per Play
6.43
3.59
 Punts
3.12
48.51
 Punt Average
50.42
76.35
 Return Yards
68.12

Head To Head

CLE
 Stat Type KC
3-6
 Record
6-3
5-4
 ATS
4-5
6-3
 O/U
6-3
25.11
 Score
27.00
139.78
 Rush Yds
145.00
32.33
 Pass Attempts
31.33
61.17
 Completion %
64.89
217.11
 Passing Yds
246.78
356.89
 Total Yds
391.78
1.44
 Turnovers
1.22
CLE
 Stat Type KC
0-3
 Record
3-0
2-1
 ATS
1-2
2-1
 O/U
2-1
17.00
 Score
25.67
130.33
 Rush Yds
137.00
37.00
 Pass Attempts
30.00
58.56
 Completion %
68.89
235.00
 Passing Yds
225.67
365.33
 Total Yds
362.67
1.00
 Turnovers
0.67
Nov 4/18 (1 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
21
 Score
37
+8
 ATS
-8
51.5 o
 O/U
51.5 u
102
 Rush Yds
139
43
 Pass Attempts
32
69.77
 Completion %
71.88
286
 Passing Yds
360
388
 Total Yds
499
1
 Turnovers
1
Dec 27/15 (2 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
13
 Score
17
+11.5
 ATS
-11.5
42.5 o
 O/U
42.5 u
232
 Rush Yds
136
32
 Pass Attempts
22
40.63
 Completion %
68.18
136
 Passing Yds
122
368
 Total Yds
258
1
 Turnovers
1
Oct 27/13 (3 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
17
 Score
23
+7
 ATS
-7
39 o
 O/U
39 u
57
 Rush Yds
136
36
 Pass Attempts
36
61.11
 Completion %
66.67
283
 Passing Yds
195
340
 Total Yds
331
1
 Turnovers
0
Dec 9/12 (4 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
30
 Score
7
-7
 ATS
+7
38 o
 O/U
38 u
154
 Rush Yds
180
30
 Pass Attempts
21
56.67
 Completion %
47.62
198
 Passing Yds
130
352
 Total Yds
310
0
 Turnovers
1
Sep 19/10 (5 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
14
 Score
16
-3
 ATS
+3
38 o
 O/U
38 u
73
 Rush Yds
140
31
 Pass Attempts
28
51.61
 Completion %
57.14
226
 Passing Yds
172
299
 Total Yds
312
2
 Turnovers
2
Dec 20/09 (6 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
41
 Score
34
+2.5
 ATS
-2.5
38.5 o
 O/U
38.5 u
351
 Rush Yds
168
18
 Pass Attempts
40
55.56
 Completion %
55.00
66
 Passing Yds
323
417
 Total Yds
491
3
 Turnovers
1
Dec 3/06 (7 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
31
 Score
28
+4.5
 ATS
-4.5
35.5 o
 O/U
35.5 u
150
 Rush Yds
124
34
 Pass Attempts
32
67.65
 Completion %
75.00
288
 Passing Yds
293
438
 Total Yds
417
2
 Turnovers
2
Nov 9/03 (8 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
20
 Score
41
+9
 ATS
-9
43.5 o
 O/U
43.5 u
80
 Rush Yds
88
27
 Pass Attempts
42
70.37
 Completion %
69.05
119
 Passing Yds
350
199
 Total Yds
438
2
 Turnovers
2
Sep 8/02 (9 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Home
Away
39
 Score
40
-1.5
 ATS
+1.5
36 o
 O/U
36 u
59
 Rush Yds
194
40
 Pass Attempts
29
70.00
 Completion %
68.97
352
 Passing Yds
276
411
 Total Yds
470
1
 Turnovers
1
Sep 9/79 (10 of 10)
CLE
 Stat Type KC
Away
Home
27
 Score
24
 ATS
 O/U
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
68.97
 Completion %
68.97
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0

Team Records

CLE
 Record KC
12-5
 All
14-2
6-2
 Home
6-2
6-3
 Away
8-0
7-10
 ATS
6-9-1
3-5
 ATS Home
3-5
4-5
 ATS Away
3-4-1
10-7
 O/U
8-8
5-3
 O/U Home
4-4
5-4
 O/U Away
4-4
CLE
 Record KC
8-5
 All
10-2
4-2
 Home
4-2
4-3
 Away
6-0
3-10
 ATS
6-6
1-5
 ATS Home
3-3
2-5
 ATS Away
3-3
8-5
 O/U
6-6
4-2
 O/U Home
3-3
4-3
 O/U Away
3-3
CLE
 Record KC
4-3
 All
4-2
2-1
 Home
1-2
2-2
 Away
3-0
1-6
 ATS
1-5
0-3
 ATS Home
0-3
1-3
 ATS Away
1-2
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0-0
 O/U Home
0-0
0-0
 O/U Away
0-0
CLE
 Record KC
7-3
 All
9-1
3-2
 Home
4-1
4-1
 Away
5-0
4-6
 ATS
2-7-1
1-4
 ATS Home
1-4
3-2
 ATS Away
1-3-1
5-5
 O/U
6-4
2-3
 O/U Home
2-3
3-2
 O/U Away
4-1

Gametime Weather

2:05 pm EST Cloudy
4ºC / 39ºF
63% Humidity
1% Precipitation
95% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 15
 mph

Trends

  • Cleveland are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
  • Cleveland are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
  • Cleveland are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Kansas City.
  • Cleveland are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Kansas City.
  • Cleveland are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
  • Cleveland are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • Cleveland are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games played on a Sunday.
  • Kansas City are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
  • Kansas City are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games against Cleveland.
  • Kansas City are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games at home.
  • Kansas City are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland.
  • Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • Kansas City are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference North division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games played in January.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Jack ConklinTIs out for season, ACL
Deshaun WatsonQBIs "?" Sunday vs Baltimore, Shoulder
Kareem HuntRBIs probable Sunday vs Baltimore, Ribs
Nick ChubbRBIs out for season, Knee
Jacob PhillipsLBIs out for season, Pectoral
Greg Newsome IICBIs upgraded to probable Sunday vs Baltimore, Elbow
James Hudson IIITIs upgraded to probable Sunday vs Baltimore, Ankle
Name Position Inj Desc
Richie James Jr.WRIR, MCL
Charles OmenihuDEIs OUT 6 games, Suspension
Prince Tega WanoghoTIR, Quad
Nick BoltonLBIs downgraded to OUT Sunday vs NY Jets, Ankle
Jaylen WatsonCBIs OUT Sunday vs NY Jets, Shoulder

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Jan 10, 2021PIT48-37W+5.5/47W/O12726339052501553-5
Jan 3, 2021PIT24-22W-10/44.5L/O19216635885309394-1
Dec 27, 2020NYJ16-23L-6.5/45L/U452542991312023332
Dec 20, 2020NYG20-6W-6.5/44.5W/U106286392742142880
Dec 14, 2020BAL42-47L+3/45.5L/O1383554932311543851
Dec 6, 2020TEN41-35W+4/54W/O11834045862369431-2
Nov 29, 2020JAC27-25W-7.5/48.5L/O2072524591402353751
Nov 22, 2020PHI22-17W-2.5/45.5W/U137187324106209315-2
Nov 15, 2020HOU10-7W-4.5/46L/U231125356901532430
Nov 1, 2020LV6-16L-1/47.5L/U1011222232081013091
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Jan 3, 2021LAC21-38L+6.5/43L/O512172681352814161
Dec 27, 2020ATL17-14W-11/54L/U117278395902773671
Dec 20, 2020NO32-29W-3/53.5P/O179232411602252850
Dec 13, 2020MIA33-27W-7/51.5L/O94354448802873673
Dec 6, 2020DEN22-16W-13/51.5L/U134313447179151330-2
Nov 29, 2020TB27-24W-3.5/56L/U8745654375342417-1
Nov 22, 2020LV35-31W-7.5/56.5L/O108352460892753640
Nov 8, 2020CAR33-31W-10/51.5L/O303673971043314351
Nov 1, 2020NYJ35-9W-19.5/49W/U5044649693128221-1
Oct 25, 2020DEN43-16W-7/46W/O101185286177234411-3
View Game Logs