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Colts host Texans in Week 15 action

Houston TexansIndianapolis Colts
2-11December 15, 2013, 01:00 | Lucas Oil Stadium8-5

The Indianapolis Colts haven't looked too great in recent weeks, but they are the champions of the AFC South. They're also almost locked into the four seed in the AFC bracket.

So bettors might want to keep a close eye on how Indy approaches its last three games, starting Sunday at home against the 2-11 Houston Texans.

The Colts have lost three of their last five games, after falling at Cincinnati last Sunday 42-28. But they backed into the AFC South title when Tennessee lost at Denver. At the moment Indy is the four seed in the AFC, and it looks like that's where they'll stay.

Houston, on the other hand, continued to lose close games last week, going down at Jacksonville 27-20 last Thursday. So of the Texans' 11 losses – all in a row – eight have come by a touchdown or less.

In the early betting the Colts, who rallied from way down to beat the Texans in Houston six weeks ago 27-24, were favored by six points at Bovadafor Sunday's contest.

They bring a 8-5 record (7-6 ATS) to the Week 15 battle against the 2-11 Texans, who are 3-10 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen Indianapolis go 8-5 so far and the Texans go 9-4.

View Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Odds and Stats.

Bettors looking to back the visiting Texans in this one found them as 6-point underdogs earlier in the week, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 45.5 at shops such as 5Dimes.

The game pits the Colts, currently No. 21 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Texans, who rate No. 26 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 22-15 victory for the Colts.

In their last action, Houston was a 27-20 loser on the road against the Jaguars. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (47) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Andre Johnson hauled in 13 passes for 154 yards against the Jacksonville defense in the team's last game, but the result was a 27-20 loss against the Jaguars on Thursday. Last time out, Andrew Luck threw for 4 scores and 326 yards in a failed effort to defeat Cincinnati at Paul Brown Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Indianapolis's No. 15-ranked offense, averaging 24.08 PPG, against a Texans defense that ranks No. 27 this week at 26.92 PPG. The Colts aerial game is averaging 231.92 yards per game, more than the Texans secondary allows through the air, 183.62 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Texans own the league's No. 15-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 117.33 yards per game when on the road. Indianapolis, on the other hand, rates No. 23 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Texans at Colts trends to consider:
Houston is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Indianapolis is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games
Indianapolis is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Indianapolis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

Next up:
Houston home to Denver, Sunday, December 22nd
Indianapolis at Kansas City, Sunday, December 22nd