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Colts vs Titans Preview

Tennessee TitansIndianapolis Colts

What's up with the Indianapolis Colts? A team that started this season 6-2 has lost two of its last three games, both in blow-out fashion.

Coming off a 40-11 drubbing at Arizona the Colts will try to right their ship when they host the 5-6 Tennessee Titans Sunday afternoon (1 pm ET, CBS).

Indy still leads the AFC South by two games over second-place Tennessee. But the Colts' pattern of falling way behind in first halves – they've done it four games in a row – is a bit disconcerting.

The Titans, meanwhile, just won out in Oakland, and sit in a six-way tie for the second AFC wild-card spot.

These two teams just met three weeks ago; three-point home dog Tennessee grabbed a 17-6 halftime lead, only to allow Indy to come back and win 30-27, pushing the spread.

In the early betting the Colts, who have won and covered the last four games in this divisional rivalry, were favored by four points over the Titans at SportBet.

Some trends for Titans-Colts bettors this week include the Titans 1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS past 10 vs Colts; the Titans have covered five straight road games; the Colts lost two straight SU as home favorites; the Titans have played five straight divisional OVERs; the Colts are 7-1 ATS past 8 vs AFC South foes.

The Colts sport a record of 7-4 and 6-5 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Titans sit at 5-6 and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. The over under records are 7-4 for the Colts and 7-3-1 for the Titans.

View Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts Odds and Stats.

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Colts pegged as 7-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 44.5.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Colts at No. 20 and the Titans at No. 18 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 24-22 result in favor of the Colts.

In their last action, Tennessee was a 23-19 winner on the road against the Raiders. They covered the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (42) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, Tennessee's aerial attack generated 320 yards and the Titans came away with a 23-19 victory over Oakland at O.co Coliseum.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Indianapolis's No. 16-ranked offense, averaging 23.91 PPG, against a Titans defense that ranks No. 11 this week at 22.27 PPG. The Colts aerial game is averaging 229.91 yards per game, more than the Titans secondary allows through the air, 217.36 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Titans own the league's No. 22-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 121.4 yards per game when on the road. Indianapolis, on the other hand, rates No. 23 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Titans at Colts trends to consider:
Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Indianapolis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home

Next up:
Tennessee at Denver, Sunday, December 8th
Indianapolis at Cincinnati, Sunday, December 8th