The Minnesota Vikings are very rarely favorites and when they are, they rarely cover the spread.
The Vikes opened as slight chalk Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium against the Indianapolis Colts. They are just 1-6 ATS in seven recent games as a favorite.
After a rough debut in a loss on the road to the Chicago Bears, Andrew Luck will look for his first NFL win at home against the Vikings. The spread opened with the Vikes favored, but was bet down to PK at Sportsbook by mid-week.
Indianapolis is 2-16 in its last 18 games and just 4-9 ATS over its last 13. Minnesota is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road.
View Minnesota vs Indianapolis Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The Vikings were listed as 5-point favorites at Sportsbook, but it was quickly bet down. The total listed at Sportsbook was 43.5.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Colts rated this week at No. 29 and the Vikings sitting at No. 16. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 31-8 result in favor of the Vikings this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indianapolis's No. 20-ranked offense (21 PPG) against a Vikings defense that ranks No. 16 at 23 PPG. The Colts passing attack has averaged 293 yards per game, more than the Vikings give up through the air (242 YPG on average).
The Vikings were a 26-23 Sportsbook in their most recent outing at home against the Jaguars. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (49) made Sportsbooks of OVER bettors. Adrian Peterson scored twice in Minnesota's most recent game, earning a 26-23 win over Jacksonville at The Metrodome.
In their last action, Indianapolis was a 41-21 loser on the road against the Bears. They failed to cover the 10-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (62) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Andrew Luck led the way last time out for the Colts, connecting for 309 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 41-21 loss to the Colts at Soldier Field.
Minnesota Vikings Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 4-6
Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 0-10
A few Vikings at Colts trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Indianapolis is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Next up:
Minnesota home to San Francisco, Sunday, September 23
Indianapolis home to Jacksonville, Sunday, September 23
