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Falcons vs Cowboys: Week 9 Pick

The Atlanta Falcons will try to remain undefeated Sunday night and improve to 8-0 SU when they host the Dallas Cowboys at the Georgia Dome.

Atlanta is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS this season but they face a Cowboys team that is 6-2 ATS in its past 8 games as road underdog.

The Falcons are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games at home including a 7-0 SU record over their last seven home games. The total has gone UNDER in six of Dallas's last seven road games and in seven of Atlanta's last 10 home games.

WEEK 9 SPECIALS - Will the Atlanta Falcons go 16-0 in the 2012 Regular Season?

Yes                  10/1 (see latest line at Bovada)

View Dallas vs Atlanta Odds and Stats.

Dallas vs Atlanta Betting Line:
The point spread was settled in at 3 favoring the host Falcons earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook.ag. The over under line was hovering around 47.5, with movement expected during the week at Bovada.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Falcons at No. 10 and the Cowboys at No. 7 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 33-19 result in favor of the Falcons.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Atlanta's No. 5-ranked offense (28.7 PPG) against a Cowboys defense that ranks No. 18 at 23.1 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 270.7 yards per game, more than the Cowboys give up through the air (187.7 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Cowboys feature the league's No. 19-rated road run defense, allowing 115.5 yards per game. Atlanta, meanwhile, ranks No. 25 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Dallas was a 29-24 loser at home against the Giants. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (53) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their last game, Dallas's aerial attack generated 437 yards but it was the Giants coming away with a 29-24 victory over Dallas at Cowboys Stadium.

Last time out for Atlanta, they were a 30-17 winner as they battled the Eagles on the road. The Falcons covered in the match as a 2.5-point underdog, while 47 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Atlanta comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Matt Ryan in defeating the Eagles 30-17.

Dallas Cowboys Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on turf are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few Cowboys at Falcons trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games

Next up:
Dallas at Philadelphia, Sunday, November 11
Atlanta at New Orleans, Sunday, November 11